Jonas Knox· Dec 26, 2025
Filling in on the Dan Patrick Show, Knox made his weekly picks: Chargers over Texans, Jaguars over Colts, Seahawks over Panthers, Bills over Eagles, and the Bears to win outright at San Francisco. He also called Ted McMillan the likely Offensive Rookie of the Year.
“I'm gonna go with the Bears on the money line.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsDec 26, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indianapolis Colts
“I'll take Jacksonville minus the six short week for Indianapolis. I'm gonna go with the Jacks here”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 23-17
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Award PicksTetairoa McMillanDec 26, 2025
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“you can hunt for top rookies and breakout stars like Ted McMillan. Listen, this guy's probably going to be the offensive rookie of the year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 111
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersDec 26, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Houston Texans
“I'll take the LA Chargers minus one and a half... This is a revenge game for them after what happened in the postseason”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsDec 26, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat San Francisco forty nine ers
“We're gonna go Bears, money line... I think this is an opportunity for Chicago to going there in surprise the people.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 38-42
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsDec 26, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“I'm gonna take Buffalo in this spot. They are surging... I think they get it done at home against the Eagles.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 13-12
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksDec 26, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Carolina
“it feels like a letdown spot for Carolina... So yeah, I'm with you. I'm gonna go Seattle on the road here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 27-10
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.