Jonas Knox#69 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 26, 2025

Filling in on the Dan Patrick Show, Knox made their weekly picks: Chargers over Texans, Jaguars over Colts, Seahawks over Panthers, Bills over Eagles, and the Bears to win outright at San Francisco. They also called Ted McMillan the likely Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled

50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#69Jonas Knox’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jonas Knox said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I'm gonna go with the Bears on the money line.

Jonas Knox, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
The episode: Hour 3: Xmas Talk, Picks Against The Spread
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidDec 26, 2025
GradedAug 5–7, 2026

1Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“you can hunt for top rookies and breakout stars like Ted McMillan. Listen, this guy's probably going to be the offensive rookie of the year.”
2Buffalo Bills to beat Philadelphia Eagles“I'm gonna take Buffalo in this spot. They are surging... I think they get it done at home against the Eagles.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Skill
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year¹	Award Picks	Tetairoa McMillan won	100	+111
Buffalo Bills to beat Philadelphia Eagles²	Game Outcome Picks	—	0	0
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled			50

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Award Picks Tetairoa McMillan
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedTetairoa McMillan won
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
skill:
111
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
who won:
Tetairoa McMillan
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Philadelphia Eagles
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
Closing line (Dec 28): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 60%.
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
13-12
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 0