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Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

McIntyre ran through Week 1 picks — Eagles, Chiefs, Commanders, Falcons, Bengals, Jaguars, 49ers — and believes San Francisco makes the playoffs given its schedule and Brock Purdy.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 9calls landed7 hits · 2 misses · all settled
77.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
44.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 9Settlednone still waiting
#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

I'll give you the teams and just pop the winner.
Jason McIntyre, the lead quote
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Colin's NFL predictions, issues with the Cowboys and Dak Prescott, Greg Cosell
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks6020
Playoff Picks1000
All7020

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 8 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 9 have settled, averaging 77.8 out of 100, against 44.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks6 hits · 2 missesShow ▸
  1. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Dallas

    “Dallas at Philly Eagles”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 4): Eagles by 8.5 · favorite pick, Eagles 78%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    20-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Washington Commanders to beat Giants

    “I'll say Washington wins a close one.”

    Washington Commanders

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Commanders by 6 · favorite pick, Commanders 72%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    6-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers

    “Casey Chargers overseas. I would go Casey.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 5): Chiefs by 3 · favorite pick, Chiefs 61%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAC
    score:
    21-27
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Atlanta Falcons to beat Tampa

    “Tampa at Atlanta, Atlanta, I'm I'm pop committed to Atlanta.”

    Atlanta Falcons

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Buccaneers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Buccaneers 51%, Falcons 49%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    23-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle

    “I don't have a lot of concern for san Fran in the spot... you like the Niners to win comfortably.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 55%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-13
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Cincinnati Bengals to beat Cleveland

    “So I'll go Bengals nineteen seventeen or some crazy score”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Bengals by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 2 in 3 (68%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    17-16
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Las Vegas Raiders to beat Patriots

    “I kind of want to take the Raiders here. In the opener”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Patriots by 2.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 42%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina

    “Yeah, I got Jaggs, I think comfortably.”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Jaguars by 4.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 2 in 3 (64%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    10-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks1 hitShow ▸
  1. San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs

    “j Mack believes the easiest bet on the board due to schedule and the greatness of Rock Party is San Francisco makes it”

    San Francisco 49ers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.