Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 29, 2025

Eisen defended their preseason call of the Packers reaching the Super Bowl, said the Chiefs will win the AFC West, called the Ravens the favorites in the AFC North, said the Colts are a playoff team, expected Denver to handle Cincinnati and the Giants to beat the winless Saints, and endorsed Puka Nacua as the league's best receiver.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 9calls landed4 hits · 5 misses · all settled

42.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls

54.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

9 of 9Settlednone still waiting

#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I think they can absolutely win the AFC West.

Rich Eisen, the lead quote

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 4: Dart's Debut, Packers-Cowboys Tie, Chiefs are Back & More
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 29, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Misses
Division Winners	0	2
Conference Champions	0	1
Positional Finishes	1	0
Game Outcome Picks	1	1
Depth Chart Calls	2	0
Playoff Picks	0	1
All	4	5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 2 division winners, 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 9 have settled, averaging 42.6 out of 100, against 54.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners2 missesShow ▸

Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“I will basically say to you Ravens are still favored to win the division. I am not counting the Ravens out right now.”
Baltimore Ravens
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.83 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.83
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“But I think they can absolutely win the AFC West... So I'm gonna say this is not an overreaction.”
Kansas City Chiefs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.83 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1.83
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?

Conference Champions1 missShow ▸

Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
“Your prophecy is that they they go to the Super Bowl. That was what I said before the season.”
Green Bay Packers
NE and SEA wonpicked GB
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.83 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
1.83
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?

Positional Finishes1 hitShow ▸

Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“Jefferson, Chase, all good. CD when he's 100% healthy. Give me Puka right now. ... This is not an overreaction at all.”
Puka Nacua Los Angeles Rams
Finished #2called #1 · by receiving yards
91.67Hit
91.67 − 0 naive = 91.67 × 1.83 difficulty = +167.75 skill
How this was scored
skill:
167.75
player:
Puka Nacua
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
0
position:
WR
ranked by:
receiving yards
difficulty:
1.83
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
24
actual finish:
2
weeks left when called:
15
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?

Game Outcome Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸

Denver Broncos to beat Bengals
“And the Bengals prior to playing on Monday Night Football But we don't anticipate them beating the Broncos.”
Denver Broncos
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.83 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 29): Broncos by 7.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 4 in 5 (79%).
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
3-28
skill:
0
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants to beat Saints
“if they go to New Orleans and keep the Saints winless, which the Giants, dare I say, should do even without Malik Neighbors”
New York Giants
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.83 difficulty = −183 skill
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5 · a toss-up, Giants 48%, Saints 52%.
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
14-26
skill:
−183
they picked:
NYG
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NO
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?

Depth Chart Calls2 hitsShow ▸

Kenny Gainwell to be 1st on the depth chart
“Kenneth Gainwell may have just gained the full time job there with all due respect to Jalen Warren”
Kenny Gainwell Pittsburgh Steelers
No. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards
91.67Hit
91.67 − 100 naive = −8.33 × 1.83 difficulty = −15.25 skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
−15.25
player:
Kenny Gainwell
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.83
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Wan'Dale Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Wandell Robinson is gonna be the the top receiver, and the rest of them aren't Malik Neighbors.”
Wan'Dale Robinson New York Giants
No. 1called No. 1 · by receptions
100Hit
100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 1.83 difficulty = +15.25 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
15.25
player:
Wan'Dale Robinson
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.83
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?

Playoff Picks1 missShow ▸

Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“Colts are no joke, man. They're a playoff team.”
Indianapolis Colts
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.83 difficulty = −183 skill
How this was scored
team:
IND
skill:
−183
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
Zachary Pereles · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints.
Garrett Podell · Depth Chart Calls · Carson Beck · Miss 0
Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut.
Donnie Druin · Depth Chart Calls · Jacoby Brissett · Hit 100
Following the Cardinals' decision not to make staff or lineup changes, Druin states that Jacoby Brissett will remain Arizona's starting quarterback for another week, with rookie Carson Beck staying behind them.