Rich Eisen· Sep 29, 2025
Eisen defended his preseason call of the Packers reaching the Super Bowl, said the Chiefs will win the AFC West, called the Ravens the favorites in the AFC North, said the Colts are a playoff team, expected Denver to handle Cincinnati and the Giants to beat the winless Saints, and endorsed Puka Nacua as the league's best receiver.
“I think they can absolutely win the AFC West.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 2 division winners, 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 42.6 out of 100, against 54.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensSep 29, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“I will basically say to you Ravens are still favored to win the division. I am not counting the Ravens out right now.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- won the division:
- no
- Conference ChampionsGreen Bay PackersSep 29, 2025
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
“Your prophecy is that they they go to the Super Bowl. That was what I said before the season.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Division WinnersKansas City ChiefsSep 29, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“But I think they can absolutely win the AFC West... So I'm gonna say this is not an overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- won the division:
- no
- Positional FinishesPuka NacuaLos Angeles RamsSep 29, 2025
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“Jefferson, Chase, all good. CD when he's 100% healthy. Give me Puka right now. ... This is not an overreaction at all.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 0+167.75 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 167.75
- player:
- Puka Nacua
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosSep 29, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Bengals
“And the Bengals prior to playing on Monday Night Football But we don't anticipate them beating the Broncos.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 3-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Kenny Gainwell to be 1st on the depth chart
“Kenneth Gainwell may have just gained the full time job there with all due respect to Jalen Warren”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-15.25 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PIT
- skill:
- -15.25
- player:
- Kenny Gainwell
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Wan'Dale Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Wandell Robinson is gonna be the the top receiver, and the rest of them aren't Malik Neighbors.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+15.25 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 15.25
- player:
- Wan'Dale Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsSep 29, 2025
New York Giants to beat Saints
“if they go to New Orleans and keep the Saints winless, which the Giants, dare I say, should do even without Malik Neighbors”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NO
- score:
- 14-26
- skill:
- -183
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Playoff PicksIndianapolis ColtsSep 29, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“Colts are no joke, man. They're a playoff team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- skill:
- -183
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 15
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Aaron JonesHit · 100In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.
- Bradley LockerDepth Chart Calls · Carson WentzHit · 100PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland.