Eric CohenOct 2, 2026
Cohen picks the Bears to beat the Jets at home, the Packers to win at Tampa Bay (dropping the Bucs to 0-4), and the Chiefs over the Raiders; they also peg the Jets as roughly a six- or seven-win team in 2026.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Eric Cohen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromChicago's strong rushing attack should be enough to secure a victory at home.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- NFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London?
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 2
- PlayedOct 4
- GradedOct 5
- 1Chicago Bears to beat Jets“SportsLine expert Eric Cohen is rolling with the Bears here”
- 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders“SportsLine expert Eric Cohen likes the Chiefs over the Raiders.”
- 3Green Bay Packers to beat Buccaneers“SportsLine expert Eric Cohen likes the Packers to not only win but to cover. ... Expect a change very soon after the Bucs drop to 0-4.”
- 4Season Win Totals“I'm not sure that they are much better than a six or seven-win team in 2026.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears to beat Jets1 | Game Outcome Picks | Bears 23–12 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders2 | Game Outcome Picks | Chiefs 30–27 | 100 | 0 | +183 | |
| Green Bay Packers to beat Buccaneers3 | Game Outcome Picks | Packers 17–14 | 100 | 0 | +183 | |
| “I'm not sure that they are much better than a six or seven-win…”4 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting | 100 | 33.3 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Jets
What happenedBears 23–12Jets at Bears100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.83difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 4): Bears by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bears 63%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 12-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
What happenedChiefs 30–27Chiefs at Raiders100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.83difficulty=+183skillClosing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 2 in 3 (66%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 30-27
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
3Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to beat Buccaneers
What happenedPackers 17–14Packers at Buccaneers100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.83difficulty=+183skillClosing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3 · favorite pick, Packers 58%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 17-14
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
4Season Win TotalsNew York Jets
“I'm not sure that they are much better than a six or seven-win team in 2026.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 33.3
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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More game outcome picks
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