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Clay Travis· Oct 23, 2024

Travis predicted that Republican Senator Josh Hawley will easily defeat his Democratic challenger in Missouri.

“Josh Holly, he's gonna smoke him.”

said on air or in an interview · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Race WinnersOct 23, 2024

    “he was running against Josh Holly, and Josh Holly he's gonna smoke him... he's gonna get absolutely wrecked in Missouri”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    right:
    yes
    race:
    2024-senate-mo
    election year:
    2024
    skill:
    0
    topic:
    elections
    held going in by:
    Republican
    result from:
    wikipedia-2024-senate
    who won:
    Josh Hawley
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    race name:
    2024 U.S. Senate election in Missouri
    decided in the:
    general
    they said:
    Josh Hawley
    days before the vote when called:
    12
    difficulty:
    1.02
    the winner's party:
    Republican
    the naive guess:
    the party holding the seat keeps it
    Election Day:
    2024-11-05
    the result is:
    certified
    the party they named:
    Republican

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