Jared Koch#1 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 5, 2026

Koch expects Brevin Jordan to be the odd man out among Houston's five tight ends and be inactive for the Week 1 game against the Bills, largely due to a leg injury.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

3 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

#1Jared Koch’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Koch said

The most likely bet to be the odd man out, at least to start, would be Jordan.

Our reading: Brevin Jordan to make the roster

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Texans' Biggest Roster Questions Entering Week 1 After Cuts
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 5
GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Brevin Jordan Houston Texans
Brevin Jordan to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
200
player:
Brevin Jordan
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
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