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Jared Dubin· Oct 1, 2026

Dubin picks the Steelers to beat the Browns 20-14 on Thursday night in Cleveland, saying he trusts Pittsburgh's offense slightly more than Cleveland's and doubts the Browns can move the ball consistently.

“Pick: Steelers 20, Browns 14”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 42.9 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Browns 14

    “Pick: Steelers 20, Browns 14”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 95.04-95.5 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    -95.5
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    95.04
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.92
    predicted margin:
    6

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