Big Cat· Oct 9, 2026
Big Cat predicts the Bears beat the Packers in Week 5, thinks the Lions will beat the Cardinals, believes the Eagles rather than the Cowboys should win the NFC East, and sees the Raiders as the surprise team most likely to last.
“No. No. I expect the bears to win this game. I think the bears would be better football team.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Pardon My Take (podcast) · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Bears at Packers 49 calls
- Lions at Cardinals 24 calls
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 9, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat cardinals
“I think the lions will win this game... I do think the lines are gonna win this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 45-21
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5 · favorite pick, Lions 70%.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 9, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
“No. No. I expect the bears to win this game. I think the bears would be better football team. If they do not win this game, I'll be wildly, wildly disappointed.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- −178
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.
- Surprise Team CallsLas Vegas RaidersOct 9, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations
“Of the surprise teams in terms of, like, will they last? Let's just do it real quick. Browns, Raiders, Giants. I would probably say Raiders... I think the Raiders are more likely to be in... To win more games than the other two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Emmett MatasovskyScore Predictions · Detroit LionsHit · 100He predicted the Lions' offense would top 35 points against Arizona, forecasting 37 points for Detroit, and expected Jahmyr Gibbs to post a big game in the desert.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 62Bergman picked winners and exact scores for every Week 5 game, siding with Jacksonville in London, the Saints over the unbeaten Vikings, the Jets over Cleveland and the Rams over Buffalo.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 57Parr picked every Week 5 game with scores, leaning on Chicago's ground game at Lambeau, Seattle's defense against the unbeaten 49ers, and the Rams handling Buffalo on Monday night.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Detroit LionsHit · 86Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 57Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 50Cersosimo picked winners and scores across the Week 5 slate, including the Vikings moving to 5-0 in New Orleans, the Browns at the Jets, the Colts at Pittsburgh and the Falcons over a Lamar-less Baltimore.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel.
- Blaine GrisakGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo.