Bill Huber#59 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 11, 2026
Huber lays out three reasons the Bears will beat the Packers at Lambeau Field, citing Chicago's dominant offensive line, Ben Johnson's edge over Matt LaFleur, and Green Bay's league-worst third-down offense against Chicago's elite third-down defense.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Bill Huber said
Here are three reasons why the Bears will win again and officially stamp themselves as the team to beat in this new era of the rivalry.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Predicting Three Reasons Why Packers Will Lose to Bears … Again
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 10
- PlayedOct 11
- GradedOct 11
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
What happenedPackers 31–7Bears at Packers0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.78difficulty=−178skillClosing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- −178
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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