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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 20, 2026

The newsletter predicted which teams would stay undefeated longest in 2026, naming the specific games in which the Seahawks, Packers, Chiefs and Ravens would each suffer their first loss, with Baltimore as the last unbeaten team.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So there you have it, the Ravens will be the final undefeated team
John Breech, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Everyone on NFL hot seat, plus the top 30 players 30 and over and predicting 2026's final undefeated team
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 20
  2. PlayedOct 15–Nov 1
  3. GradedOct 16–Nov 1
  1. 1Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens“Ravens (First loss: at Bills in Week 8)”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs“Chiefs (First loss: at Seahawks in Week 7)”
  3. 3Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers“Packers (First loss: vs. Cowboys in Week 6)”
  4. 4Denver Broncos to beat Seahawks“Seahawks (First loss: at Broncos in Week 6)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens1Game Outcome PicksBills 36–101001000
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs2Game Outcome PicksSeahawks 20–31001000
Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers3Game Outcome PicksPackers 23–130100−200
Denver Broncos to beat Seahawks4Game Outcome PicksBroncos 17–141001000
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled75100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens

    What happenedBills 36–10Ravens at Bills
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs

    What happenedSeahawks 20–3Chiefs at Seahawks
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers

    What happenedPackers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Seahawks

    What happenedBroncos 17–14Seahawks at Broncos
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 100

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.