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Mike Tannenbaum· Jul 15, 2026

Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco.

“We're gonna go with Deebo Samuel to the Buffalo Bills.”

said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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