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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.42% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
376–400 of 2,304
22 / 2,304
graded
2,282 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (at the end of your drafts)
You’re probably better off drafting Xavier Worthy at the end of your drafts, and leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It’s very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 20 receivers)
Rice is being drafted before the likes of Ladd McConkey, Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuks, and Jameson Williams... leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a WR1)
Having said the young receiver being drafted as a WR1, and we can’t subscribe to that.
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (a fourth- or fifth-round pick)
I'm not willing to pay a fourth- or fifth-round pick for him.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (as high as the second round)
There's a lot of injury optimism here, which has bumped Nabers up as high as the second round in drafts. That's too rich for me... I'm fully out on Nabers.
CeeDee Lamb to be 1st on the depth chart
Now fully healthy, I expect Lamb to be the clear-cut top target in this offense once again
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (at cost)
I'd rather take someone like Luther Burden III at cost. He provides more upside on a Bears offense that looks ready to explode.
Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears
Xavier Worthy to be 1st on the depth chart
Xavier Worthy just may wind up being the Chiefs’ No. 1 WR by the year’s end.
Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs
James Cook to record 10 rushing tds
accumulate over 1,450 yards on the ground with double-digit touchdowns
Houston Texans defense to finish 2nd among fantasy defenses
Houston offers us the opportunity to finish with what could be a top-two defense.
James Cook to record 1,450 rushing yards
Cook projects to rush the ball on nearly 300 plays and accumulate over 1,450 yards on the ground with double-digit touchdowns.
Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart
could grab the reins as the lead receiver for the Jaguars
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Dak Prescott to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Even if Prescott doesn’t increase his touchdown production, we still get a top-five or better quarterback option in the 10th round.
DeVonta Smith to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
With an increase in targets, there’s a solid chance Smith could finish as a top-10 fantasy receiver.
Rachaad White to be 3rd on the depth chart
If the volume is there, White would make for a very valuable RB2. As it stands, it looks more likely White will be a serviceable RB3/FLEX.
Rachaad WhiteWashington Commanders
Chase Brown to record 220 fantasy points
Chase Brown is one of the more exciting players to roster this year, and projects to finish the season with over 220 fantasy points.
De'Zhaun Stribling to be 2nd on the depth chart
Stribling hauled in 11 passes for over 110 yards in two preseason games, ultimately sealing his role as the No. 2 WR for San Francisco.
De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers
Chase Brown to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Brown ranked 10th amongst running backs last season. We think he could end up closer to fifth this season.
Parker Washington to finish top 25 at his position, by fantasy points
However, a possible top-25 receiver at this price makes Washington a solid value.
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Colston Loveland to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
he has the opportunity to close out the season in the top three among all tight ends
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 4)
Round 4 Cam Skattebo (RB – NYG) ... Yes, Skattebo should lead the team in touches, but his draft cost is too high.
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
Round 3 Josh Allen (QB – BUF) I have Josh Allen ranked as my QB1 overall, but I'm unwilling to draft him in the third round.
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost (Round 6)
Round 6 Mike Evans (WR – SF) Mike Evans could be a touchdown machine, but he is another aging player with significant injury concerns.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (Round 1)
Round 1 Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) ... I'm not willing to use a first-round pick on a running back entering his age-30 season, coming off 400+ touches. Add in the lengthy injury history as well, and he's a clear fade.
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers