Evan TarraccianoOct 12, 2026
In their Week 5 studs and duds column, Tarracciano projects rest-of-season fantasy roles: Jaylen Warren as a low-end RB1, Chris Olave as a top-10 receiver, Carnell Tate capped as a WR3, Pat Freiermuth as a low-end TE1 in the near term, and Christian Watson reaching their first 1,000-yard season if healthy.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Evan Tarracciano said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWarren's usage on checkdowns and screen passes greatly inflates his weekly point floor, and he should be viewed as a low-end RB1 moving forward.
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- Fantasy Football Studs & Duds: Week 5 (2026)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Chris Olave to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points“As long as Olave remains healthy, he's a top-10 wideout in the league.”
- 2Jaylen Warren to finish RB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points“Warren's usage on checkdowns and screen passes greatly inflates his weekly point floor, and he should be viewed as a low-end RB1 moving forward.”
- 3Carnell Tate to finish WR3 (25–36) at his position, by fantasy points“Tate will have the occasional good game, but his erratic statistical totals will make him difficult to trust as anything more than a WR3 for the remainder of the season.”
- 4Christian Watson to record 1,000 receiving yards“Watson made several highlight-reel catches and is well on his way to his first 1,000-yard season if he can stay on the field.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points1 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaylen Warren to finish RB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points2 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Carnell Tate to finish WR3 (25–36) at his position, by fantasy points3 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Christian Watson to record 1,000 receiving yards4 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 4 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
4 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Chris Olave · 2026 season · positional finish3 calls from 3 pundits between 5 positional finish and 24 positional finish. Evan Tarracciano said 10 positional finish. the room's median is 6 positional finish. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
positional finishTheir call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Positional FinishesChris OlaveNew Orleans Saints
Chris Olave to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Positional FinishesJaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers
Jaylen Warren to finish RB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Positional FinishesCarnell Tate
Carnell Tate to finish WR3 (25–36) at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Player Season NumbersChristian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Christian Watson to record 1,000 receiving yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.John Middlekauff · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs they expect in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. They also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest they'll ever sign.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Positional Finishes · Puka Nacua · Close 75
Nick Wright picked the Ravens to beat Houston this weekend even with Lamar Jackson possibly out (leaning on Derrick Henry and Cooper Rush), the Chiefs to win in Jacksonville, and the Rams to beat the 49ers on Thursday night. They also laid out an AFC playoff field of Bills, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers and Colts, projected the Chiefs' receiver pecking order once Rashee Rice returns, and called Justin Jefferson the best receiver in football with Puka Nacua a top-five receiver.Rich Hribar · Positional Finishes · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.Chris Brockman · Positional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Hit 100
Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.Ryan Tracy · Positional Finishes · Bryan Cook · Miss 0
Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; they name Brian Robinson as their target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.Pat Gustavson · Positional Finishes · Bijan Robinson · Close 75
Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots.