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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
76–100 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Pittsburgh Steelers to pick “picking 19 to 23 on the draft order”
when it comes down to 2027 when Rodgers is definitely gone... And the Steelers might be, you know, in their usual realm of picking 19 to 23 on the draft order
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
October schedule is home for Kansas City at New England, home for Buffalo, home for the Rams. Yeah. They're not gonna win a single one of those.
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
They're not they're not benching rogers... They're not benching rogers.
Jeremiyah Love to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
Those are the three things that one needs to be an offensive rookie of the year... And I he's got all three of those things... I don't think this is an overreaction.
New England Patriots to beat Raiders
October schedule is home for Kansas City at New England, home for Buffalo, home for the Rams. Yeah. They're not gonna win a single one of those.
Von Miller to record 5 sacks
I said to Cooper, I'm like, five sacks, six sacks. That's it.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders
October schedule is home for Kansas City at New England, home for Buffalo, home for the Rams. Yeah. They're not gonna win a single one of those.
Jeremiyah Love to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
Dealing with the dreaded high ankle sprain, doesn't matter. It will be shocking if Jeremiah Love is an offensive rookie of the year.
Carnell Tate to be 1st on the depth chart
I'm not even talking about Cardinal Tate. We expect him to be the one
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
But let's start with the Raiders. Fernando Mendoza will be the Raiders' starting quarterback by Halloween... We'll put by November.
Buffalo Bills to beat Raiders
October schedule is home for Kansas City at New England, home for Buffalo, home for the Rams. Yeah. They're not gonna win a single one of those.
New York Giants to beat expectations
one team could be a sleeper this year, the New York Giants
Cleveland Browns to beat expectations
they need a trigger... slightly above average quarterback play, and they're gonna be the sleeper team that I threw them in that mix for
Cincinnati Bengals to reach the Super Bowl
But I don't think people are thinking the Bengals are gonna make it back to the Super Bowl, and I think that could be potentially happening
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
I'll just call it here again one more time. Deshaun Watson is gonna start for Cleveland. I've always thought that.
Carson Beck to be 1st on the depth chart
He is set up to start first out of the rookie class because the quarterback's chosen in front of him... I don't think this is an overreaction.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat expectations
And at Cincinnati, which I've already told you is my number one sleeper team this year
Aaron Donald to move to Los Angeles Rams
We're sitting here waiting for Aaron Donald to make the obvious occur... So Donald may be back by the time people consume this portion... We all expect it to happen.
Jahmyr Gibbs to win top-five MVP finish
both Bijan and Jamar Gibbs Jamir Gibbs. Yes. Top five MVP incoming... For both.
Carnell Tate to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
I think a wide receiver is gonna do it again. Second year in a row, wide out, offensive, rookie of the year... I'm putting my thumb on a wide receiver, and I'm gonna call it. It's Karnell tape.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat expectations
We should be talking about Jacksonville at Super Bowl contenders... But they are a higher registered Super Bowl contender that I think we need to start talking about.
Bijan Robinson to win top-five MVP finish
Now that their contracts are done, both Bijan and Jamar Gibbs Jamir Gibbs. Yes. Top five MVP incoming. For for both? For both.
Carson Beck to be 1st on the depth chart
Carson Beck is starting to establish himself, and I think he's gonna be the first rookie to start a game this year.
Aaron Donald to move to Los Angeles Rams
I think it's a matter of when Aaron Donald comes back to the Rams, not if at this point. I think so too, buddy.
Dallas Cowboys to take the top seed
the Cowboys have an opportunity to be the one seed... At the end of the day, put it on the table and go, we're the one seed in the NFC.