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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
101–125 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Kyler Murray to move
The loser of one of these QB battles is gonna get traded before week one... Kyler Murray versus JJ McCarthy, Shador and Deshaun
Aaron Donald to move to Los Angeles Rams
I think it's a matter of when Aaron Donald comes back to the Rams, not if at this point. I think so too, buddy.
Dallas Cowboys to take the top seed
the Cowboys have an opportunity to be the one seed... At the end of the day, put it on the table and go, we're the one seed in the NFC.
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
I'd go number three again. But then but that's the low hanging fruit that everybody thinks that Stafford and and the Rams are gonna win it all this year.
Myles Garrett to win Most Defensive Player of the Year trophies all-time (at least four)
Miles Garrett will retire with the most defensive player of the year trophies and the all time sack record. ... So he would need two more DPO wise.
Jahmyr Gibbs to win MVP finalist
Gibbs is gonna break Barry Sanders' Lions total yards record and be a finalist for MVP.
Myles Garrett to make NFL all-time sacks record
Miles Garrett will retire with the most defensive player of the year trophies and the all time sack record.
Myles Garrett to make NFL all-time sacks record
Oh, I think I love the old time sack record. It is Bruce Smith's mark. No. I know. And and I I think he'll wind up with the old time sacks record.
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
Yeah. This is not an overreaction by any stretch of the imagination... I could've went Bills. I could've went Pats... I'm with you.
Justin Herbert to win MVP
Justin Herbert will deserve his MVP votes this year and finish in the top three.
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
I think Deshaun Watson's the week one starter.
Breece Hall to finish top 3 at his position, by rushing yards
Got paid. Awesome. And he's gonna finish in the top three in rushing yards.
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
The Denver Broncos are the team to beat in the AFC for 2026.
Justin Herbert to win MVP
He will deserve his MVP notice this year and finish top three. That is not an exaggeration or an overreaction, sir. K. I am with you.
Anthony Richardson to move to Indianapolis Colts
I just think Anthony Richardson is as good as gone. But he just isn't yet for various reasons.
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
But the Colts are not on Anthony Richardson time right now, and I think Daniel Jones is starting week one.
Top five coaches on the hot seat For sure. For 2026. Okay. Number five, Aaron Glenn... Todd Bowles is four... Dan Campbell is on the hot seat... Number two, Nick Sirianni... Last one, Rich Eisen, Zach Taylor in Cincinnati.
Houston Texans to win the division
Texans in the South? Yeah. Of course you will... I believe in CJ Stroud with David Montgomery and the other pieces
Joe Burrow to win top five in MVP voting
I'll say Lamar and Joe Burrow are back.
Josh Allen to win top five in MVP voting
I'm saying Stafford and Josh Allen will get the MVP votes k. As a repeat customer.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
So the Bills and the AFC East? I think so. Yeah... I think the Bills kinda snuck that in right here.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
No. I wanna go Ravens. Okay. Go Ravens. Yeah. I wanna go Ravens.
Dak Prescott to win top five in MVP voting
And I'll go Dak Prescott just to just to really knock you off
Matthew Stafford to win top five in MVP voting
I'm saying Stafford and Josh Allen will get the MVP votes... make sure the rest of the top five be with them
Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart
Do you think Mahomes starts week one? Absolutely. I do.