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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
126–150 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
he is gonna start this year... And by the way, I think he's gonna start week one
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
No. I wanna go Ravens. Okay. Go Ravens. Yeah. I wanna go Ravens.
Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart
Do you think Mahomes starts week one? Absolutely. I do.
Houston Texans to win the division
Texans in the South? Yeah. Of course you will... I believe in CJ Stroud with David Montgomery and the other pieces
Joe Burrow to win top five in MVP voting
I'll say Lamar and Joe Burrow are back.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
So the Bills and the AFC East? I think so. Yeah... I think the Bills kinda snuck that in right here.
San Francisco 49ers to win the division
And then in the in the West, you go to Rams. Yeah. Or the Niners. You're gonna go Niners? I was really impressed with Kyle Shanahan last week.
Fernando Mendoza to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
I don't think it's an overreaction to say that first overall pick quarterback who's going to get some starts is going to wind up rookie of the year.
De'Von Achane to record 1,600 rushing yards
Devin hanging. A chan. 1,600 yards. Mhmm. With Malik Willis who can't throw it to first base.
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
This is gonna be Devante Smith's first year as the clear cut number one wide receiver in Philadelphia.
Omarion Hampton to record 1,600 rushing yards
Give you let me give you one that you're maybe not thinking of at all because he was hurt last year. How about a Marion Hampton?
A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
Devante Smith is gonna have an Ole Miss teammate leave town. AJ Brown's going to New England.
Jahmyr Gibbs to record 1,600 rushing yards
Jameer Gibbs is gonna get nothing Gibbs. Gibbs is gonna do it.
Lamar Jackson to win top five in MVP voting
I'll say Lamar and Joe Burrow are back. Both of them are back. Down with staff and Allen.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
Then we're gonna go Chiefs. I'm gonna go Chargers.
James Cook to record 1,600 rushing yards
We're gonna have five top 1,600 this year... You say James Cook does it again.
Bijan Robinson to record 1,600 rushing yards
Bijan. Bijan's doing it.
Derrick Henry to record 1,600 rushing yards
Derrick Henry does it... They just got a left guard who I think is gonna make the pro football hall of fame
Josh Allen to win receives MVP votes
Only two are gonna get votes this year... I think it's gonna be Stafford and and Allen.
Dak Prescott to win top five in MVP voting
And I'll go Dak Prescott just to just to really knock you off
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
I don't I wanna go Colts. Colts?
Josh Allen to win top five in MVP voting
I'm saying Stafford and Josh Allen will get the MVP votes k. As a repeat customer.
Matthew Stafford to win top five in MVP voting
I'm saying Stafford and Josh Allen will get the MVP votes... make sure the rest of the top five be with them
Green Bay Packers to win the division
Not the Lions. Are you gonna go to the Lions? No. I think the window's closed. I'm gonna go Green Bay.
New Orleans Saints to pick “bottom half of the 2027 NFL draft”
Rich, the Saints won't be picking in the top half of next year's NFL. Top half won't be picking in the top half.