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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
1401–1425 of 3,546
1,900 / 3,546
graded
1,646 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (a quarterback within the top ten)
But if we're picking one of the guys inside the top ten to not reach his expectation, I think it has to be Dart.
A.J. Brown to move
AJ Brown's getting traded to where right.
Chig Okonkwo to be 2nd on the depth chart
Chicka kon Quo is now the number two option in Washington right.
my top seven are McBride, Bauers, Loveland, Craft, Warren Fan and Pitts. That's how I have it.
Kenneth Walker III to fall short of his draft cost (running back eleven)
So I just think that he's too expended for where I want to buy him currently. Is his ZCR I believe is running back eleven and I have him at sixteen.
Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (late round)
I think I will be taking a lot of late round dark brows at Matthew Golden because I think he kind of offers what... the happy medium
Matthew GoldenGreen Bay Packers
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (RB thirteen to twenty nine overall)
So there's a lot of variables in here that are happening, and I think I might just want to sit this one out and not have to deal with it and go with more stable options that are being drafted after him.
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (a top ten tight end)
I don't want any part of Dalton Kincaid... But we're still drafting him as a top ten tight end when we have not seen that top ten output
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (QB seven and ECR sixty overall)
I'm probably a little bit more aggressive about my fade on Jackson Dart.
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty eight and ECR ... sixty one overall)
I don't think he's going to thrive in Buffalo... we're getting the count on DJ Moore. But is the upside really there? I don't know that it is.
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (an RB three)
Do you think maybe there is a second your breakout looming for Tutin? I do. I'm pro Tutin... So we're probably going to be drafting Tuton as an RB three So what value. I'm good with it
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars
Bucky Irving to be 1st on the depth chart
while I do think that he is going to be the lead back health pending, the lead back of that team
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
CeeDee Lamb to fall short of his draft cost (eight overall wide receiver five)
the best case scenario for Ceede Lamb is probably a round wide receiver eight to ten and that's eight to twelve really... But we're drafting him over that
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall)
I think we need to look at him more as somebody who is probably going to offer us low end RB two upside and draft him appropriately
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
Colston Loveland to be 1st on the depth chart
I look at Colston loveland as I think he's going to be their clear wide receiver one for that team.
Colston Loveland to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
I think he has the upside to be the tight end one overall... I think he can be the tight end one this year.
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (ECR wide receiver twenty one)
if you look at him in the ECR wide receiver twenty one, I mean that is a breakout candidate worthy position... So that's my long winded answer of saying Luther burn is a breakout candidate.
Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
twenty three percent first read chhare he's gonna be their wide receiver one. This year
Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart
He's the clear no questions number one in the passing attack.
Alec Pierce to outplay his draft cost (people still have him down in like the thirties)
we finally got the breakout, and then people still have him down in like the thirties. I like, I have him with eight spots over consensus, and that's still only wide receiver twenty six.
Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft)
there's no reason that he should be way down off the charts on rookie let alone, way down out of the ranks, completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (He's wide receiver forty one. In ECR... ECR has him in ninety fifth)
How in the ever love and hell is Parker Washington outside the top seventy five players... he's my wide receiver twenty seven. He's wide receiver forty one. In ECR, I have him as a fifty third overall player.
Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart
he was the clear wide receiver one for Jacksonville... Unless we think the Jacksonville Jaguars are gonna absolutely face plant this year, why do we not want their clear wide receiver one?
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (right now in ECR he's fifty sixth overall, he's wide receiver twenty seven)
But really the productivity was there where I don't understand, Like right now in ECR he's fifty sixth overall, he's wide receiver twenty seven... he's my wide receiver twenty one. I've got him at forty forty feth overall
Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart
the one has the very little competition if any, to be the one and Alec Piers... This team clearly wants him to be the one.