Posts — page 2
What we're seeing in the data: daily summaries of graded predictions, essays on the punditry industry, and deep dives into what the numbers say.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Vikings 9, Bears 3: The Field Went 13-for-14 on Chicago and Missed Anyway
Minnesota's 9-3 road win beat 13 of 14 graded picks on this game. One pundit called it — and beat the home-team default to do it.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Patriots 20, Steelers 3: Everyone Picked New England, Nobody Called the Blowout
New England's 20-3 win over Pittsburgh settled 18 graded calls. The field got the winner right — and undersold the margin by at least nine points.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Raiders 26, Chargers 14: Eight Picks for the Chargers, One for Vegas, and Only One Was Right
The Raiders beat the Chargers 26-14 in Week 2. We graded nine calls on the game — eight backed LA, and only Richard Sherman took Vegas.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Panthers 34, Falcons 3: The Only Two Calls for Atlanta Came From the Same Guy
Twelve of fourteen graded calls picked Carolina before its 34-3 win at Atlanta. The two dissents both belonged to one pundit — twice.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Packers 20, Jets 17: The Field Leaned Green Bay, and the Three Who Didn't Paid For It
Packers 20, Jets 17 settled 11 graded calls. Eight pundits backed the road team and were right; three bit on the Jets and weren't.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Broncos 20, Jaguars 13: The Field Leaned Upset, Nick Wright Picked It Three Times
Denver's 20-13 win over Jacksonville graded 34 calls. More pundits picked the Jaguars than the Broncos — every one of those picks missed.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Eagles 24, Titans 20: Every Pundit Picked Philly, None Saw It This Close
All 34 graded calls on Eagles-Titans picked Philadelphia to win. The margin is where the field's confidence fell apart.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
49ers 35, Dolphins 13: Nobody Missed the Winner — the Real Test Was the Margin
Every graded call on 49ers-Dolphins Week 2 picked San Francisco. The split that mattered was how big a blowout pundits were willing to call.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Cowboys 37, Commanders 20: The Field Picked Dallas 13-to-1 — and Still Undersold the Blowout
Cowboys 37, Commanders 20 settled 14 graded calls. Only one pundit picked Washington. The three score predictions all lowballed Dallas's margin.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Chiefs 33, Colts 30: Every Pundit Picked Kansas City. Only One Got the Margin Right.
Chiefs 33, Colts 30 settled 15 graded calls, all of them on Kansas City. The split that mattered was in the score predictions, not the winner.
- Blog postSeptember 23, 2026
Browns 23, Buccaneers 19: The Field Picked Tampa Bay by 17 — and Lost by Four
Every winner and score pick we tracked on Browns-Bucs had Tampa Bay winning big. Cleveland won by four. Here's who called it and who didn't.
- Blog postSeptember 22, 2026
Saints 24, Ravens 17: The Two Calls That Beat a Lopsided Field
New Orleans' upset in Baltimore settled 15 graded calls. Eleven picked the Ravens. We break down who saw it coming and who didn't.
- Blog postSeptember 22, 2026
Bengals 20, Texans 6: The Field Picked Houston Three Times Out of Four…and Lost
Cincinnati beat Houston 20-6 in Week 2. We tracked 21 graded pregame calls on the game — most of them picked the Texans. Here's who saw it coming.
- Blog postSeptember 22, 2026
Seahawks 31, Cardinals 7: John Breech Picked Arizona Four Times. All Four Missed.
Seattle's 31-7 win at Arizona settled 13 graded calls. The field leaned the right way 8-5 — but one pundit alone made up four of the five misses.
- Daily summarySeptember 22, 2026
Jaguars Punditry Check: A Near-Unanimous Field Called Denver Wrong, and Only a Few Voices Have Earned Trust on This Team | MissedTakes Daily
Jacksonville's Week 2 loss to Denver exposed a field-wide consensus miss. Here's what the graded record says about who to trust on the Jaguars.
- Weekly reviewSeptember 22, 2026
Two Pundits Cash In on the Same Aaron Rodgers Call | MissedTakes Weekly
Kyle Brandt and Tom Pelissero split Pundit of the Week for 2026-W38 — and both wins lean on the same old Aaron Rodgers-to-Pittsburgh call.
- Daily summarySeptember 18, 2026
Lions Punditry Check: 0-for-20 on Detroit in the NFC, and the Field Is Back at 11-12 Wins | MissedTakes Daily
Detroit is pundits' favorite NFC pick and has gone 0-for-20 on conference-champion calls. What the graded record says about Lions takes.
- Blog postSeptember 18, 2026
Bills 41, Lions 31: The Field Took Buffalo 16-4 in a Predictable Shootout
Twenty graded calls on Bills-Lions in Week 2. Sixteen took Buffalo. Who nailed the margin, who missed, and what it did to their records?
- Daily summarySeptember 17, 2026
Broncos Punditry Check: 31 of 45 Calls Took Denver at Arrowhead, and the Field Is Still Selling 12 Wins | MissedTakes Daily
Almost everyone picked Denver to win in Kansas City. It lost 31-10. What the graded record says about who to believe on the Broncos.
- Blog postSeptember 17, 2026
Chiefs 31, Broncos 10: 31 of 45 Pre-Game Calls Took Denver, and the Best Score Pick Was Off by 18
We graded 45 calls on Broncos-Chiefs Week 1. Denver got 31 of them. Kansas City won by 21, and nobody predicted a Chiefs margin bigger than three.
- Daily summarySeptember 17, 2026
Cowboys Punditry Check: 27 of 34 Missed the Giants Game, and a Win-Total Field Spread From 6 to 14 | MissedTakes Daily
Dallas punditry, graded: 27 of 34 Week 1 calls took the Cowboys and lost, the Parsons consensus whiffed, and the win-total field ranges 6 to 14.
- Blog postSeptember 16, 2026
Ravens 41, Colts 23: The Field Took Baltimore and Still Undersold It
21 graded calls on Ravens-Colts Week 1. Baltimore won 41-23. Who beat the home-team default, whose scores landed, and who took Indianapolis.
- Blog postSeptember 16, 2026
Lions 31, Saints 30: Everybody Picked Detroit, Nobody Saw a One-Point Game
All 21 graded calls on Saints-Lions took Detroit, and Detroit won by one. Why a unanimous winner pick was worth nothing, and whose margin came closest.
- Blog postSeptember 15, 2026
Vikings 39, Packers 22: The Field Split Down the Middle on a 17-Point Game
32 graded calls rode on Packers-Vikings in Week 1. The field split 16-16 on the winner, and nobody came close to a 17-point Minnesota win.
- Blog postSeptember 15, 2026
Jets 23, Titans 10: The Field Went 10-for-25 on a Game It Called a Coin Flip
Twenty-five graded calls rode on Jets-Titans in Week 1. Fifteen took Tennessee. Who got the road upset right, who didn't, and what it means.