AJ Hawk#71 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 22, 2026
Hawk picked the New England Patriots to beat the Chicago Bears on Thursday night.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original
What AJ Hawk said
I absolutely love the New England Patriots tonight.
- Where it was said
- The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)
- The episode
- PMS 2.0 1651 - TNF Preview/Picks, Dalton Kincaid, Kirk Herbstreit, Coach Chuck Pagano, Kendrick Perkins, & AJ Hawk
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 22
- PlayedOct 22
- GradedOct 23
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Chicago Bears
What happenedBears 30–24Patriots at Bears0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.67difficulty=−167skillClosing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3 · underdog pick, Patriots 42%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- −167
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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