Gregg Rosenthal

Gregg Rosenthal has been covering the NFL since 2012, hosting podcasts and appearing on NFL Network programming for over a decade. He hosts The NFL Daily Podcast with a rotating cast of NFL Media personalities, and co-hosts 40s and Free Agents: NFL Draft Season. He's also a familiar voice from Around the NFL and has appeared on NFL GameDay View since 2019. His work here spans the full range of NFL coverage — draft position projections, game picks, player rankings, roster decisions — with particular attention to teams like the Patriots, Chargers, Lions, and Cowboys. The "NFL Daily 32" series, ranking positions across the league, shows up frequently in his predictions, as do his mailbag responses and preseason team projections.

Writes at Fox Sports Radio (podcast)

Every take from Gregg Rosenthal, including the ones still waiting →

Is Gregg Rosenthal accurate? Across 356 graded calls in 71 articles, Gregg Rosenthal scores 60.46% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 8.77, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

60.46%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

8.77

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

356

Graded calls

across 71 articles. 189 more not yet settled.

98.64% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 356

11 of 72 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 5 of 11.

Rosenthal made three against-the-spread picks — Dolphins over Commanders, Buccaneers over Bills outright, and Steelers to beat the Bengals by more than 5.5 — while also saying he has Seattle and Chicago winning straight up and endorsing the Ravens over the Browns.7 graded calls · Nov 14, 2025
- Houston Texans to beat Tennessee
  “Seven points Houston over Tennessee... I totally agree.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  HOU
  score:
  16-13
  skill:
  144
  they picked:
  HOU
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  TEN
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to beat Browns
  “You could tell me that the Ravens score nineteen points in this game because the Browns defense place as well, and I'd still take the eight points... So I think that's a good one.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BAL
  score:
  23-16
  skill:
  144
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  CLE
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
  “I have the Bears winning straight up to all three of us, do me? You and Patrick”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  CHI
  score:
  19-17
  skill:
  144
  they picked:
  CHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  MIN
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Bengals
  “I take him to win by more than five and a half the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  PIT
  score:
  12-34
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  PIT
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  PIT
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Buffalo
  “Bucks plus six at Buffalo... both Patrick and I are taking the Bucks straight up.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BUF
  score:
  32-44
  skill:
  -144
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Miami Dolphins to beat Washington Commanders
  “It is the Miami Dolphins... I think it's it's actually kind of a little bit of a mismatch this week. I think the Dolphins win going away.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  MIA
  score:
  13-16
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  MIA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  MIA
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
  “which is I have Seattle winning. Straight up.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  19-21
  skill:
  -144
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal picks the Buccaneers to beat the Patriots, the Steelers to win outright at the Chargers, the Rams to blow out the 49ers, and jokes/claims the Ravens beat the Vikings by 25.4 graded calls · Nov 7, 2025
- Los Angeles Rams to beat forty nine ers
  “I think the Rams are gonna blow them out this week... So I'm going Rams minus four and a half”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  42-26
  skill:
  150
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  SF
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings
  “And when I heard all that and he's like growling in the locker room and he's an alter ego, I'm like Raven's by twenty five.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BAL
  score:
  27-19
  skill:
  150
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  MIN
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Patriots
  “I'm taking the Bucks minus two and a half... I just think I think they're better.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  28-23
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  TB
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Chargers
  “I love this pick. I'm with you. I think the Steelers went straight up. Me and you are on the same side... But I have them winning straight up.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAC
  score:
  10-25
  skill:
  -150
  they picked:
  PIT
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  LAC
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
Presented the combined Week 10 power poll he and Nick Shook averaged together, ranking all 32 teams with the Seahawks first and the Titans last, and separately gave several of his own individual placements (Seahawks 1, Colts 4, Patriots 11, Ravens 15, Bears 17, Raiders 30).2 graded calls · Nov 7, 2025
- “They gone dead last Tennessee Titans... The New Orleans Saints second to last, thirty one... number thirty the Jets twenty nine Raiders... Washington Commanders... twenty eight. We got the Dolphins at twenty seven, Shooks Browns... twenty six, and then the Giants at twenty five... number twenty four the Cincinnati Bengals... The Cowboys at twenty three, Falcons at twenty two, the Carolina Panthers... twenty one, Texans at twenty, Cardinals at nineteen. Eighteen for the Chicago Bears and seventeen of the Jacksonville Jaguars... Number sixteen, the Vikings... the Chargers are at fifteen... The forty nine Ers fourteen, Ravens all the way up to thirteen... The Steelers at twelve, Broncos at eleven, and Patriots at ten... Number nine the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Number eight is Green Bay... Number seven, the Detroit Lions, number six, We have the Colts five, the Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs... ahead of the Bills... number three, the LA Rams, number two Philadelphia Eagles, and number one the Seattle Seahawks”
  Hit · 86Scored 85.89a naive guess scored 66.67+28.82 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  28.82
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  85.89
  baseline:
  66.67
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  31
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “You had them nineteen, I had him seventeen... You had the Ravens at eleven. I had him at fifteen... I had the Patriots at eleven, you had them at ten... I had the Colts still at four... I hadem one, you had them two... Raiders fans out there, I had you thirtieth going into this game”
  Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 48.57+55.71 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  55.71
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  85.71
  baseline:
  48.57
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  6
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal's three picks against the spread: Seahawks on the road at Washington (his most confident pick of the week), Bears -3 over the Bengals, and the Cardinals to beat the Cowboys outright on Monday night. He also said he's taking the Chiefs in Chiefs-Bills, though it wasn't one of his official picks.4 graded calls · Oct 31, 2025
- Chicago Bears to beat Bengals
  “Bears minus three. Okay, that's against the Bengals. Yep, coaching mismatch... I just think the Bears their floor is much higher. I think we get this win.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  CHI
  score:
  47-42
  skill:
  156
  they picked:
  CHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  CIN
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington Commanders
  “I'm going to start with my most confident pick of the week... they're only three point underdogs at home to the Seahawks... I just think they're another class than the Washington Commanders team”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SEA
  score:
  38-14
  skill:
  156
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  WAS
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys
  “Arizona Cardinals yep, Monday Night Football plus two and a half... I think they're going to get a win on Monday Night football.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  ARI
  score:
  27-17
  skill:
  156
  they picked:
  ARI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  DAL
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills
  “I'm taking the Chiefs, but I don't feel amazing about it.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BUF
  score:
  21-28
  skill:
  -156
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal calls the Chiefs the No. 1 favorite and says they are going to the Super Bowl. He also expects several players to be moved before the trade deadline, most confidently David Njoku, and views Riq Woolen and Breece Hall as likely trade pieces.2 graded calls · Oct 28, 2025
- Breece Hall to move to New York Jets
  “I actually do think he is about as likely as any good player to get traded.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -156
  player:
  Breece Hall
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  he leaves
  was with:
  NYJ
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  1.56
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  NYJ
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
  “I mentioned to them like, oh yeah, I think I think the Chiefs are the favorites. I think they're going to the super Bowl, Like if I think they're gonna I think they're the number one favorite right now”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champions:
  NE,SEA
  difficulty:
  1.56
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal's official picks against the spread: Packers -3 at Pittsburgh (predicting a blowout, roughly 36-18), Falcons -7.5 over Miami, and Bills +7 in Carolina (he believes Buffalo wins outright and scores 35). He also said he liked the Browns +7, the Vikings getting points, and would take the Patriots if picking that game.4 graded calls · Oct 23, 2025
- Green Bay Packers 36 — Steelers 18
  “I think they're gonna blow him out. I have it like thirty six to eighteen”
  Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 31.02+80.39 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  35-25
  skill:
  80.39
  they picked:
  GB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  80.95
  baseline:
  31.02
  difficulty:
  1.61
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  11
  naive home margin:
  2.03
  predicted margin:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Atlanta Falcons to beat Miami Dolphins
  “I'm taking the Falcons minus seven and a half... they're playing the Miami Dolphins”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  MIA
  score:
  34-10
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  ATL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  ATL
  difficulty:
  1.61
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  11
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to beat Browns
  “I would have. I would take the Patriots. But three and a half feels about right there.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  13-32
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  NE
  difficulty:
  1.61
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  11
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Buffalo Bills to beat Panthers
  “Can Andy Dalton keep up in a shootout? I don't think so. Bill's plus seven.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BUF
  score:
  40-9
  skill:
  161
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  CAR
  difficulty:
  1.61
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  11
  Think this grade is wrong?
Gregg predicted the Chiefs would blow out the Raiders 35-14, the Lions would beat the Buccaneers at home, the Rams would beat the Jaguars in London, and expected Jacoby Brissett rather than Kyler Murray to start for Arizona against Green Bay.3 graded calls · Oct 17, 2025
- Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars
  “I had the Jaguars covering the spread... I have the Rams winning, so I don't feel strong about that game.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  35-7
  skill:
  167
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  JAX
  difficulty:
  1.67
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs 35 — Raiders 14
  “Forget it. Yeah, I mean put up thirty five to fourteen. I apologize to Gino Smith, but I just think this Raiders seems one of the worst teams in the league.”
  Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 50+43.74 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  0-31
  skill:
  43.74
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  76.19
  baseline:
  50
  difficulty:
  1.67
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  31
  weeks left when called:
  12
  naive home margin:
  2.03
  predicted margin:
  21
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
  “I think it's probably Jacoby Brissett, but Kyler Murray was at practice on Wednesday... it sounded like they would prefer to rest Kyler through the by”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+13.92 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  ARI
  skill:
  13.92
  player:
  Jacoby Brissett
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1.67
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal pivoted to the Rams as his favorite play, saying Los Angeles simply wins in Baltimore against a Ravens defense that is a mess against the run. He also conceded that even though he was taking Atlanta with the points, he expects Buffalo to win that Monday night game.2 graded calls · Oct 10, 2025
- Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens
  “I feel better about the Rams just winning this game. They have extra rest... All they have to do all day is just hand the ball off against a Ravens defense who is twenty eighth in the league against the run.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  17-3
  skill:
  172
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  BAL
  difficulty:
  1.72
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Buffalo Bills to beat Falcons
  “And so that's why I think the Bills will likely win this game. But when I see a home dog four and a half points...”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  ATL
  score:
  14-24
  skill:
  -172
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  ATL
  difficulty:
  1.72
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  13
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal expects the Bills to beat the Patriots but in a shootout, likes the Broncos to go into Philadelphia and win outright, and calls Seattle at home over Tampa Bay his pick of the year, believing the Seahawks are the best team in the league right now.3 graded calls · Oct 3, 2025
- Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
  “I think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  23-20
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  1.78
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  14
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers
  “it's Seattle at home against the Buccaneers. I think Seattle might be the best team in the league. ... I would go up to six seven points on this and like the Seahawks in this specific week.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  TB
  score:
  38-35
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  SEA
  difficulty:
  1.78
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  14
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Denver Broncos to beat Philadelphia
  “I'm having the Broncos win in Philadelphia. ... I like the Broncos to go in, maybe make a statement and go ahead and win it.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  DEN
  score:
  21-17
  skill:
  178
  they picked:
  DEN
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1.78
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  14
  Think this grade is wrong?
Three weeks into the season, Rosenthal ranked all 32 teams 1-32 based on how likely he thinks they are to make the playoffs, with the Packers on top and the Titans last. He also said Green Bay will have the best defense in the league.Sep 27, 2025
- “I've divided the entire league into different groups... dead last in the NFL, I would put the Titans that's thirty two. Saints would be next, Dolphins at thirty... the Carolina Panthers... The Jets above them... The Raider, the Giants, and then at the very top of this list, the Browns... this is the number twenty one team overall, the Bears. Then the Bengals have the Patriots at twenty three and the Cowboys at twenty four... I'm putting the Vikings at the top of that list. The Jaguars are next... Stealers. Below them right in the middle of the NFL at sixteen, The Broncos at seventeen... The Texans... The Cardinals and the Falcons... number ten... The Seahawks... The Colts at eleven... The Commander's at twelve and then the forty nine ers... I'm putting the Packers... number one, the Lions and Eagles right behind them... So they're there at four, Bills at five, Ravens at six, and then the Rams, the Bucks, and... the Kansas City Chiefs”
  Close · 78Scored 77.53a naive guess scored 66.37+20.43 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  20.43
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  77.53
  baseline:
  66.37
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  32
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rosenthal leans Giants over the Chargers with Jackson Dart starting, and makes three headline picks: Jets over the Dolphins, Packers big over a banged-up Cowboys team, and the Jaguars to beat the 49ers outright. He also said he's picking the Vikings over the Steelers in Dublin and described Jacksonville as looking like a playoff sixth seed.6 graded calls · Sep 26, 2025
- Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
  “which is Packers minus seven... I'm really I'm really big on the Packers.”
  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  tie
  score:
  40-40
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  GB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  50
  the naive pick:
  DAL
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers
  “I'm actually anti Steelers this week, at least in terms of picking the Vikings.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  PIT
  score:
  21-24
  skill:
  -183
  they picked:
  MIN
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  PIT
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New York Giants to beat Chargers
  “But if I had to pick, I'm on the Giants because week one, You're right, but Russell Wilson would have been starting”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NYG
  score:
  18-21
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  NYG
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  NYG
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to beat San Francisco
  “I like the Jags plus three and a half. Yeah, in San Francisco. I actually kind of liked them to go and just win this game straight up.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  JAX
  score:
  26-21
  skill:
  183
  they picked:
  JAX
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  SF
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
  “And that's what the Jaguars have looked like to my eye, Like they kind of look like a sixth seed to me.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  JAX
  skill:
  183
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New York Jets to beat Dolphins
  “We are both on the Jets plus two and a half in Miami... I just think this is the Jets chance to go win a game... I'm going Jets.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  MIA
  score:
  21-27
  skill:
  -183
  they picked:
  NYJ
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  MIA
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  15
  Think this grade is wrong?

Gregg Rosenthal

Graded calls · 356

11 of 72 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 5 of 11.

Rosenthal made three against-the-spread picks — Dolphins over Commanders, Buccaneers over Bills outright, and Steelers to beat the Bengals by more than 5.5 — while also saying he has Seattle and Chicago winning straight up and endorsing the Ravens over the Browns.7 graded calls · Nov 14, 2025

Houston Texans to beat Tennessee
“Seven points Houston over Tennessee... I totally agree.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
How this was scored
won:
HOU
score:
16-13
skill:
144
they picked:
HOU
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to beat Browns
“You could tell me that the Ravens score nineteen points in this game because the Browns defense place as well, and I'd still take the eight points... So I think that's a good one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
23-16
skill:
144
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CLE
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
“I have the Bears winning straight up to all three of us, do me? You and Patrick”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
19-17
skill:
144
they picked:
CHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Bengals
“I take him to win by more than five and a half the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
12-34
skill:
0
they picked:
PIT
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Buffalo
“Bucks plus six at Buffalo... both Patrick and I are taking the Bucks straight up.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
32-44
skill:
-144
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Miami Dolphins to beat Washington Commanders
“It is the Miami Dolphins... I think it's it's actually kind of a little bit of a mismatch this week. I think the Dolphins win going away.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIA
score:
13-16
skill:
0
they picked:
MIA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIA
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
“which is I have Seattle winning. Straight up.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
19-21
skill:
-144
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal picks the Buccaneers to beat the Patriots, the Steelers to win outright at the Chargers, the Rams to blow out the 49ers, and jokes/claims the Ravens beat the Vikings by 25.4 graded calls · Nov 7, 2025

Los Angeles Rams to beat forty nine ers
“I think the Rams are gonna blow them out this week... So I'm going Rams minus four and a half”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
42-26
skill:
150
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings
“And when I heard all that and he's like growling in the locker room and he's an alter ego, I'm like Raven's by twenty five.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
27-19
skill:
150
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Patriots
“I'm taking the Bucks minus two and a half... I just think I think they're better.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
28-23
skill:
0
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Chargers
“I love this pick. I'm with you. I think the Steelers went straight up. Me and you are on the same side... But I have them winning straight up.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAC
score:
10-25
skill:
-150
they picked:
PIT
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?

Presented the combined Week 10 power poll he and Nick Shook averaged together, ranking all 32 teams with the Seahawks first and the Titans last, and separately gave several of his own individual placements (Seahawks 1, Colts 4, Patriots 11, Ravens 15, Bears 17, Raiders 30).2 graded calls · Nov 7, 2025

“They gone dead last Tennessee Titans... The New Orleans Saints second to last, thirty one... number thirty the Jets twenty nine Raiders... Washington Commanders... twenty eight. We got the Dolphins at twenty seven, Shooks Browns... twenty six, and then the Giants at twenty five... number twenty four the Cincinnati Bengals... The Cowboys at twenty three, Falcons at twenty two, the Carolina Panthers... twenty one, Texans at twenty, Cardinals at nineteen. Eighteen for the Chicago Bears and seventeen of the Jacksonville Jaguars... Number sixteen, the Vikings... the Chargers are at fifteen... The forty nine Ers fourteen, Ravens all the way up to thirteen... The Steelers at twelve, Broncos at eleven, and Patriots at ten... Number nine the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Number eight is Green Bay... Number seven, the Detroit Lions, number six, We have the Colts five, the Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs... ahead of the Bills... number three, the LA Rams, number two Philadelphia Eagles, and number one the Seattle Seahawks”
Hit · 86Scored 85.89a naive guess scored 66.67+28.82 skill
How this was scored
skill:
28.82
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
85.89
baseline:
66.67
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
31
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
“You had them nineteen, I had him seventeen... You had the Ravens at eleven. I had him at fifteen... I had the Patriots at eleven, you had them at ten... I had the Colts still at four... I hadem one, you had them two... Raiders fans out there, I had you thirtieth going into this game”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 48.57+55.71 skill
How this was scored
skill:
55.71
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
48.57
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
6
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal's three picks against the spread: Seahawks on the road at Washington (his most confident pick of the week), Bears -3 over the Bengals, and the Cardinals to beat the Cowboys outright on Monday night. He also said he's taking the Chiefs in Chiefs-Bills, though it wasn't one of his official picks.4 graded calls · Oct 31, 2025

Chicago Bears to beat Bengals
“Bears minus three. Okay, that's against the Bengals. Yep, coaching mismatch... I just think the Bears their floor is much higher. I think we get this win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
47-42
skill:
156
they picked:
CHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington Commanders
“I'm going to start with my most confident pick of the week... they're only three point underdogs at home to the Seahawks... I just think they're another class than the Washington Commanders team”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
38-14
skill:
156
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys
“Arizona Cardinals yep, Monday Night Football plus two and a half... I think they're going to get a win on Monday Night football.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
ARI
score:
27-17
skill:
156
they picked:
ARI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills
“I'm taking the Chiefs, but I don't feel amazing about it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
21-28
skill:
-156
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal calls the Chiefs the No. 1 favorite and says they are going to the Super Bowl. He also expects several players to be moved before the trade deadline, most confidently David Njoku, and views Riq Woolen and Breece Hall as likely trade pieces.2 graded calls · Oct 28, 2025

Breece Hall to move to New York Jets
“I actually do think he is about as likely as any good player to get traded.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-156
player:
Breece Hall
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
NYJ
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1.56
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
NYJ
weeks left when called:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“I mentioned to them like, oh yeah, I think I think the Chiefs are the favorites. I think they're going to the super Bowl, Like if I think they're gonna I think they're the number one favorite right now”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
1.56
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal's official picks against the spread: Packers -3 at Pittsburgh (predicting a blowout, roughly 36-18), Falcons -7.5 over Miami, and Bills +7 in Carolina (he believes Buffalo wins outright and scores 35). He also said he liked the Browns +7, the Vikings getting points, and would take the Patriots if picking that game.4 graded calls · Oct 23, 2025

Green Bay Packers 36 — Steelers 18
“I think they're gonna blow him out. I have it like thirty six to eighteen”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 31.02+80.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-25
skill:
80.39
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
31.02
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
11
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to beat Miami Dolphins
“I'm taking the Falcons minus seven and a half... they're playing the Miami Dolphins”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIA
score:
34-10
skill:
0
they picked:
ATL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Browns
“I would have. I would take the Patriots. But three and a half feels about right there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
13-32
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to beat Panthers
“Can Andy Dalton keep up in a shootout? I don't think so. Bill's plus seven.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
40-9
skill:
161
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?

Gregg predicted the Chiefs would blow out the Raiders 35-14, the Lions would beat the Buccaneers at home, the Rams would beat the Jaguars in London, and expected Jacoby Brissett rather than Kyler Murray to start for Arizona against Green Bay.3 graded calls · Oct 17, 2025

Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars
“I had the Jaguars covering the spread... I have the Rams winning, so I don't feel strong about that game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
35-7
skill:
167
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 35 — Raiders 14
“Forget it. Yeah, I mean put up thirty five to fourteen. I apologize to Gino Smith, but I just think this Raiders seems one of the worst teams in the league.”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 50+43.74 skill
How this was scored
score:
0-31
skill:
43.74
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
21
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think it's probably Jacoby Brissett, but Kyler Murray was at practice on Wednesday... it sounded like they would prefer to rest Kyler through the by”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+13.92 skill
How this was scored
club:
ARI
skill:
13.92
player:
Jacoby Brissett
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.67
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal pivoted to the Rams as his favorite play, saying Los Angeles simply wins in Baltimore against a Ravens defense that is a mess against the run. He also conceded that even though he was taking Atlanta with the points, he expects Buffalo to win that Monday night game.2 graded calls · Oct 10, 2025

Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens
“I feel better about the Rams just winning this game. They have extra rest... All they have to do all day is just hand the ball off against a Ravens defense who is twenty eighth in the league against the run.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
17-3
skill:
172
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to beat Falcons
“And so that's why I think the Bills will likely win this game. But when I see a home dog four and a half points...”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skill
How this was scored
won:
ATL
score:
14-24
skill:
-172
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal expects the Bills to beat the Patriots but in a shootout, likes the Broncos to go into Philadelphia and win outright, and calls Seattle at home over Tampa Bay his pick of the year, believing the Seahawks are the best team in the league right now.3 graded calls · Oct 3, 2025

Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
“I think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
23-20
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers
“it's Seattle at home against the Buccaneers. I think Seattle might be the best team in the league. ... I would go up to six seven points on this and like the Seahawks in this specific week.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
38-35
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to beat Philadelphia
“I'm having the Broncos win in Philadelphia. ... I like the Broncos to go in, maybe make a statement and go ahead and win it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
21-17
skill:
178
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?

Three weeks into the season, Rosenthal ranked all 32 teams 1-32 based on how likely he thinks they are to make the playoffs, with the Packers on top and the Titans last. He also said Green Bay will have the best defense in the league.Sep 27, 2025

“I've divided the entire league into different groups... dead last in the NFL, I would put the Titans that's thirty two. Saints would be next, Dolphins at thirty... the Carolina Panthers... The Jets above them... The Raider, the Giants, and then at the very top of this list, the Browns... this is the number twenty one team overall, the Bears. Then the Bengals have the Patriots at twenty three and the Cowboys at twenty four... I'm putting the Vikings at the top of that list. The Jaguars are next... Stealers. Below them right in the middle of the NFL at sixteen, The Broncos at seventeen... The Texans... The Cardinals and the Falcons... number ten... The Seahawks... The Colts at eleven... The Commander's at twelve and then the forty nine ers... I'm putting the Packers... number one, the Lions and Eagles right behind them... So they're there at four, Bills at five, Ravens at six, and then the Rams, the Bucks, and... the Kansas City Chiefs”
Close · 78Scored 77.53a naive guess scored 66.37+20.43 skill
How this was scored
skill:
20.43
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
77.53
baseline:
66.37
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal leans Giants over the Chargers with Jackson Dart starting, and makes three headline picks: Jets over the Dolphins, Packers big over a banged-up Cowboys team, and the Jaguars to beat the 49ers outright. He also said he's picking the Vikings over the Steelers in Dublin and described Jacksonville as looking like a playoff sixth seed.6 graded calls · Sep 26, 2025

Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
“which is Packers minus seven... I'm really I'm really big on the Packers.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
tie
score:
40-40
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers
“I'm actually anti Steelers this week, at least in terms of picking the Vikings.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
21-24
skill:
-183
they picked:
MIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants to beat Chargers
“But if I had to pick, I'm on the Giants because week one, You're right, but Russell Wilson would have been starting”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYG
score:
18-21
skill:
0
they picked:
NYG
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NYG
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat San Francisco
“I like the Jags plus three and a half. Yeah, in San Francisco. I actually kind of liked them to go and just win this game straight up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
26-21
skill:
183
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“And that's what the Jaguars have looked like to my eye, Like they kind of look like a sixth seed to me.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
183
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“We are both on the Jets plus two and a half in Miami... I just think this is the Jets chance to go win a game... I'm going Jets.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIA
score:
21-27
skill:
-183
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIA
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?