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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 10, 2025

Rosenthal pivoted to the Rams as their favorite play, saying Los Angeles simply wins in Baltimore against a Ravens defense that is a mess against the run. They also conceded that even though they were taking Atlanta with the points, they expect Buffalo to win that Monday night game.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So that's a long, really long winded way of saying I feel better about the Rams just winning this game.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 6 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens“I feel better about the Rams just winning this game. They have extra rest... All they have to do all day is just hand the ball off against a Ravens defense who is twenty eighth in the league against the run.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to beat Falcons“And so that's why I think the Bills will likely win this game. But when I see a home dog four and a half points...”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens1Game Outcome Picks—1000+172
Buffalo Bills to beat Falcons2Game Outcome Picks—0100−172
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled5050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill

    Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 7 · favorite pick, Rams about 3 in 4 (75%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    17-3
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Falcons

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.72difficulty−172skill

    Closing line (Oct 13): Bills by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (64%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    14-24
    skill:
    −172
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 50

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