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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 26, 2025

Rosenthal leans Giants over the Chargers with Jackson Dart starting, and makes three headline picks: Jets over the Dolphins, Packers big over a banged-up Cowboys team, and the Jaguars to beat the 49ers outright. They also said they're picking the Vikings over the Steelers in Dublin and described Jacksonville as looking like a playoff sixth seed.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm really big on the Packers.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 4 Picks from Dublin with The Ringer Fantasy Football Show
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1New York Jets to beat Dolphins“We are both on the Jets plus two and a half in Miami... I just think this is the Jets chance to go win a game... I'm going Jets.”
  2. 2Jacksonville Jaguars to beat San Francisco“I like the Jags plus three and a half. Yeah, in San Francisco. I actually kind of liked them to go and just win this game straight up.”
  3. 3Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs“And that's what the Jaguars have looked like to my eye, Like they kind of look like a sixth seed to me.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Jets to beat Dolphins1Game Outcome Picks—0100−183
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat San Francisco2Game Outcome Picks—1000+183
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs3Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1000+183
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled66.733.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksNew York Jets

    New York Jets to beat Dolphins

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.83difficulty−183skill

    Closing line (Sep 29): Dolphins by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jets 43%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIA
    score:
    21-27
    skill:
    −183
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat San Francisco

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.83difficulty+183skill

    Closing line (Sep 28): 49ers by 3.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 38%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Playoff PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.83difficulty+183skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    JAX
    skill:
    183
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 33.3

Who this take is about

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