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Hondo Carpenter#14 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 23, 2026

Carpenter picks the Raiders to beat the Rams at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, saying Los Angeles is walking into a buzzsaw.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

Rams 35–21What happenedRams at Raiders

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

#14Hondo Carpenter’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Hondo Carpenter said

The Rams are incredibly talented, but they are walking into a buzzsaw on Sunday.

Our reading: Las Vegas Raiders to beat Los Angeles Rams

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Hondo’s Weekly Musings: Rams Run Into Raiders’ Buzzsaw
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 23
PlayedOct 25
GradedOct 26

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Los Angeles Rams
What happenedRams 35–21Rams at Raiders
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%.
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
35-21
skill:
0
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LV
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Rams at RaidersRams 35Raiders 2124 calls →

Who this take is about

Las Vegas Raiders

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Chris Broussard · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
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Rogers picked straight-up winners across the Week 8 slate, siding with the Bills over the Ravens, the Lions, Steelers, Jaguars, Bengals, Falcons, Raiders, Broncos, Rams, Patriots, Commanders and the Bears in Seattle.
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Sullivan's Week 8 upset alert column flags five favorites they expect to lose: they pick the Falcons over the Buccaneers, the Raiders over the Jets, the undefeated Vikings over the Lions, the Ravens (with Lamar Jackson returning) over the Bills, and the Browns over the Steelers.
Ezekiel Trezevant · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Trezevant argues that if the Raiders are as improved as they appeared at 3-0, they should beat the Jets in Week 8 on the road and end their four-game losing streak.
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Sherman kept their top five unchanged in concept but shuffled it to 49ers, Bills, Vikings, Chiefs, Bears, and made Week 8 picks across the slate, including Seattle over Chicago 27-17 and a begrudging Lions pick over Minnesota.

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