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Lance Zierlein#11 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 18, 2026

Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. They also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting.

Said on air, transcribed by us · John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
1 week on a 53What happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#11Lance Zierlein’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Lance Zierlein said

I think Mills takes it to the to the half, and then my guess is Ripon will go the rest of the way in the second half.
Our reading: Lewis Bond to make the roster
The episode
08/18 Hour 1 - Houston Cougars enter 2026 ranked in the Ap Top 25!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 18
  2. GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened1 week on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    HOU
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Lewis Bond
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    2
    weeks on the practice squad:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.