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Writes at Around the NFL (podcast)
43 graded calls in 9 articles, newest first — page 2 of 2. Every take from Matt Harmon, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seahawks
“I think Kansas City, you know, gets this one on the road in Seattle.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%.
Detroit Lions to beat Packers
“This is a tough one. I'm gonna go Lions. At home, coming out of a bye, I think they'll have enough answers here.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5 · favorite pick, Lions 63%.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Ravens
“I'll take Cincinnati just because I I don't know what the the quarterback situation is gonna be.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 59%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders
“I'll go with I'll go with the Rams... The Rams win Raiders cover.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Buffalo Bills to beat Raiders
“Bills win Raiders cover. Easy call.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
New England Patriots to beat jets
“Yeah. I'll go patriots. I just think the jets are kinda running out of rope here.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
Kansas City Chiefs to beat chargers
“maybe they might win four games, and I don't think it's gonna be this week... I can't, in my wildest dreams, picture how they win this game.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (79%).
Green Bay Packers to beat cowboys
“I'll go Green Bay here... I'm gonna go with the the Packers here in a game that's more or less even”
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%.
Houston Texans to beat Jags
“I think I think the Texans can steal this one. I don't know if I have a good reason for it.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5 · underdog pick, Texans 44%.
Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens
“I guess I'll go Falcons... I think the Falcons probably eek it out with one or two mistakes, from the Ravens offense”
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles
“So I feel like Jacksonville could win this game by double digits and then some.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers
“Yeah. I think Seahawks win this one. I think they cover too. I just think they're a little bit of a better team right now.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Saints
“I'll go Vikings, but this Vikings team makes me so uncomfortable.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 56%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Eagles
“Yeah. I think I think the Rams are a better team right now. And I know they're one and two”
Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 64%.
San Francisco 49ers to beat Broncos
“Yeah. I'll go Niners here. I felt like I had a much clearer picture on how that offense can attack this defense”
Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3 · favorite pick, 49ers 60%.
Green Bay Packers to beat Bucks
“I guess I have to pick the Packers on this one just because I do think I know, like, I know their quarterback can beat this secondary.”
Closing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3 · favorite pick, Packers 58%.
Detroit Lions to beat Panthers
“Yeah. Panthers just too beat up. I'll take the lines.”
Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5 · favorite pick, Lions about 2 in 3 (66%).
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
“Yeah. I mean, I'll go Chiefs. It's a little bit of a see it to believe it type thing”
Closing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 2 in 3 (66%).
Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants
“I'm gonna still say the Rams win this game... I think Stafford gets back on track, and they have a fireworks show on offense.”
Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 72%.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans
“ultimately, that Bengals pick it just enough of these matchups. I think they win this game.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 43%.
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
“I'll go bears, especially just because I don't know a quarterback from Minnesota.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5 · favorite pick, Bears about 2 in 3 (66%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos
“Oh, god. I'll go Jacksonville. I need to I need to see a good outing for Denver before I get back on the horse.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.
Philadelphia Eagles to hold Titans to 0
“I think the Titans score zero points against the Eagles in week one [Week 2 Hail Mary]”
Brian Thomas Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good.”
Zay Flowers to be 2nd on the depth chart
“I feel like it's a little disrespectful to not have Zay Flowers taken even if he is the second best wide receiver on his team.”
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Michael Pittman's not coming off his best year... He's like a rock solid number two receiver.”
“Harmon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Jamar Chase (1), Nico Collins (4), Amon-Ra St. Brown (7), Malik Nabers (10), Ladd McConkey (13), Garrett Wilson (16), Brandon Aiyuk (19), Chris Godwin (22), Travis Hunter (25), Zay Flowers (28)”
Riley Leonard to be 1st on the depth chart
“Riley Leonard is probably gonna make starts for this team this year. I mean, I just think that's very much in the range of outcomes.”
Jaylin Noel to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
“This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
“Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State. This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
“Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter... The two guys that stick out to me are Tetro McMillan at Arizona and then Amecha Buka at Ohio State... he's my number two receiver... So he's he's my three, and McMillan I have a little bit ahead of him... Golden's my next guy after a BUKA... Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State”