Matt HarmonApr 16, 2025
Harmon ranks the 2025 wide receiver class with Travis Hunter alone in Tier 1, Tetairoa McMillan second, Emeka Egbuka third and Matthew Golden fourth, with Luther Burden and Jalen Noel as their next tier of late first/early second-round types and Jack Bech, Kyle Williams and Tre Harris squarely on Day 2 ahead of Jayden Higgins.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Matt Harmon said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromNumber one tier of his own is Travis Hunter.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Wide Receiver and Tight End Prospect Rankings
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidApr 16, 2025
- GradedAug 6–18, 2026
- 1Jaylin Noel to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)“This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
- 2Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)“Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State. This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
- 3Top Player Lists“Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter... The two guys that stick out to me are Tetro McMillan at Arizona and then Amecha Buka at Ohio State... he's my number two receiver... So he's he's my three, and McMillan I have a little bit ahead of him... Golden's my next guy after a BUKA... Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State”
- 4Jack Bech to be picked “squarely day two zone”“we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.”
- 5Tre Harris to be picked “squarely day two zone”“we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.”
- 6Kyle Williams to be picked “squarely day two zone”“we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Noel to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 79 | 52.21 | 50 | — | |
| Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 39 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| “Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter... The two guys…”3 | Top Player Lists | — | 90 | 50 | +80 | |
| Jack Bech to be picked “squarely day two zone”4 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Tre Harris to be picked “squarely day two zone”5 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Kyle Williams to be picked “squarely day two zone”6 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 3 waiting | 80.7 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive6 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 80.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Jaylin Noel to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
What happenedWent 7952.21Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jaylin Noel
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 79
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- late first rounders, early second rounder types (picks 1–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Mock Draft PicksLuther Burden III
Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
What happenedWent 39100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Luther Burden III
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- late first rounders, early second rounder types (picks 1–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter... The two guys that stick out to me are Tetro McMillan at Arizona and then Amecha Buka at Ohio State... he's my number two receiver... So he's he's my three, and McMillan I have a little bit ahead of him... Golden's my next guy after a BUKA... Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State”
VerdictHit90Hit · naive 5090this call−50a naive guess=40better than naive×2difficulty=+80skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 80
- placed:
- 4
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 4: 90
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Jack Bech to be picked “squarely day two zone”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tre Harris to be picked “squarely day two zone”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Mock Draft PicksKyle Williams
Kyle Williams to be picked “squarely day two zone”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
80.7naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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