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Matt Harmon· Oct 8, 2026

Harmon picked the Seahawks over the 49ers, the Vikings over the Saints, the Falcons over the Ravens and the Jaguars over the Eagles by double digits in Week 5, and said San Francisco's offense would stay a top-five unit the rest of the way if its stars stay healthy.

“I think the Jags might be the best team in the NFL.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls and 1 position group finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 8, 2026

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens

    “I guess I'll go Falcons... I think the Falcons probably eek it out with one or two mistakes, from the Ravens offense”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    30-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 8, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers

    “Yeah. I think Seahawks win this one. I think they cover too. I just think they're a little bit of a better team right now.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 8, 2026

    Minnesota Vikings to beat Saints

    “I'll go Vikings, but this Vikings team makes me so uncomfortable.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    23-13
    skill:
    178
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 56%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 8, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles

    “So I feel like Jacksonville could win this game by double digits and then some.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Availability CallsDJ MooreBuffalo BillsOct 8, 2026

    “Now DJ Moore hasn't been healthy, which I think is a big problem for this team, and I I would guess he doesn't play in this game. (Week 5, Bills at Rams)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Availability CallsRhamondre StevensonNew England PatriotsOct 8, 2026

    “That's the key here because Ramondra Stevenson likely gonna miss this game, I would guess based on the practice reports. (Week 5, Raiders at Patriots)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Position Group FinishSan Francisco 49ersOct 8, 2026

    San Francisco 49ers offense to be top 5 in the league

    “I think they're top... They'll be a top five offense, I think, the rest of the way as long as, Kittle is healthy, CMC is healthy, and Brock Purdy is healthy.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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