2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Governors · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Ned Lamont (Democratic, incumbent)Won—
- Ryan Fazio (Republican)—
Ned Lamont by — in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · source: wikipedia-2026
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through October 31, 2026
- Ned Lamont54.0%
- Ryan Fazio41.0%
Ned Lamont by 13.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 9 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-10-27 – 2026-10-31 | 811 LV | Ned Lamont 54% · Ryan Fazio 41% |
| Emerson College · for Nexstar Media | 2026-10-10 – 2026-10-12 | 800 LV | Ned Lamont 51.4% · Ryan Fazio 37.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | 2026-10-08 – 2026-10-12 | 702 LV | Ned Lamont 58% · Ryan Fazio 38% |
| GreatBlue Research · for CT Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement | 2026-10-06 – 2026-10-12 | 1000 RV | Ned Lamont 56% · Ryan Fazio 33% |
| Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov · for CT Mirror, The Connecticut Project | 2026-09-22 – 2026-10-07 | — LV | Ned Lamont 57% · Ryan Fazio 34% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-17 – 2026-09-21 | 540 LV | Ned Lamont 55% · Ryan Fazio 38% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-20 – 2026-08-24 | 809 LV | Ned Lamont 52% · Ryan Fazio 37% |
| GreatBlue Research · for CT Insider, WFSB (Hartford), Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement | 2026-07-21 – 2026-07-26 | 1000 RV | Ned Lamont 49.7% · Ryan Fazio 29.5% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-18 – 2026-06-23 | 828 LV | Ned Lamont 49% · Ryan Fazio 36% |
Every claim about this race (0)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
No approved claim names this race yet.
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