2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina
Senate · November 3, 2026 · not yet held
The ballot
- Annie Andrews (Democratic)—
- Darline Graham (Republican)—
- Kasie Whitener (Libertarian)—
- Mark Hackett (Constitution)—
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The market · Polymarket · October 3, 2026
- Annie Andrews13¢
A price in cents is the market's probability. Prices move; this is the day's close as we read it.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through September 29, 2026
- Darline Graham46.0%
- Annie Andrews45.0%
- Mark Hackett3.0%
- Kasie Whitener2.0%
Darline Graham by 1.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 2 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-28 – 2026-09-29 | 1200 LV | Darline Graham 46% · Annie Andrews 45% · Mark Hackett 3% · Kasie Whitener 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-08 – 2026-09-09 | 1200 LV | Darline Graham 45.1% · Annie Andrews 43.2% |
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Darline Graham1 pick
- Lindsey Graham1 pick
Every claim about this race (2)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Tom Bevan: Lindsey Graham wins SC Senate (2026)
Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina · the take
PendingKrystal Ball: Darline Graham wins SC Senate (2026)
Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina · the take
Pending