Mike Fanelli· Aug 22, 2026
Fanelli names six players as overpriced busts to avoid in 2026 redraft fantasy leagues based on RTSports ADP: Jalen Hurts, Christian McCaffrey, Bucky Irving, Justin Jefferson, Luther Burden III and Harold Fannin Jr. He suggests alternatives such as Justin Herbert, Tyler Warren and Sam LaPorta.
“Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft picks based on RTSports ADP for redraft leagues .”
published in writing · FantasyPros · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 6 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 40.53 | RB21)
“Bucky Irving (TB) – ADP 40.53 | RB21 ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency, calling the veteran a co-starter during training camp, showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsLuther Burden IIIChicago BearsAug 22, 2026
Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 45.81 | WR21)
“Luther Burden III (CHI)– ADP 45.81 | WR21 The hype around Burden has gotten out of control.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 12.82 | WR5)
“fantasy players want to avoid drafting Jefferson as a top-five wide receiver and a one-two turn pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsJalen HurtsPhiladelphia EaglesAug 22, 2026
Jalen Hurts to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 77.19 | QB6)
“Jalen Hurts (PHI) – ADP 77.19 | QB6 ... Fantasy players can draft Justin Herbert nearly two rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 65.33 | TE5)
“Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) – ADP 65.33 | TE5 ... Fannin will have massive target competition in 2026 after the Browns drafted KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 5.58 | RB3)
“Christian McCaffrey (SF) – ADP 5.58 | RB3 ... the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Garrett PodellDepth Chart Calls · Case KeenumHit · 100Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Case KeenumHit · 100A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Case KeenumHit · 100With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Chicago BearsClose · 45Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.
- Chris LongScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesClose · 79Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WormeliFantasy Bust Calls · Zay FlowersMiss · 0Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr.
- Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls · Zay FlowersMiss · 0Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.
- Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls · Austin EkelerHit · 100Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.
- Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls · Rashee RiceMiss · 0Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.
- Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls · Breece HallMiss · 0Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.
- Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls · Chuba HubbardHit · 100Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as his ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City.