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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 24, 2025

Brockman predicted Micah Parsons would ask for a trade if Dallas whiffs in free agency again, that Myles Garrett would be traded before the draft, and that the Browns will draft Abdul Carter.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done. The Browns are taking Abdul.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Offseason/Combine Preview: This Is The Least Predictable Top Three In The NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 24, 2025
  2. GradedSep 18–Oct 8, 2026
  1. 1Myles Garrett to move — “traded before the draft”“Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done.”
  2. 2Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys“If the Cowboys whiff on free agency again, Micah Parsons is going to ask for a trade.”
  3. 3Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”“The Browns are taking Abdul.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Myles Garrett to move — “traded before the draft”1Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with CLE0100−200
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys2Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with GB1000+200
Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting5050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsMyles Garrett

    Myles Garrett to move — “traded before the draft”

    What happenedEnded up with CLE
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Myles Garrett
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    how he left:
    not reported
    mechanism:
    traded
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    CLE
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsMicah ParsonsDallas Cowboys

    Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys

    What happenedEnded up with GB
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Micah Parsons
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    DAL
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    GB
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterCleveland Browns

    Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 50

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.