Mike Renner#28 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 5, 2026

Renner picks Seattle to blow out New England 31-10, citing the Seahawks' defensive line against the Patriots' offensive line, and also says the Cardinals will sign Aaron Rodgers.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting

94.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settled1 still waiting

#28Mike Renner’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Renner said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I don't think it's quite that bad, but I went 31 to 10.

Mike Renner, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Pushing the Pile (podcast)
The episode: Why These Matchups WILL DECIDE Super Bowl LX: Seahawks vs Patriots Preview & Predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidFeb 5
GradedAug 13

1Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“So for that reason, I don't even think it's pull away late. I think this is just one of kind of, like, the Seahawks laughters that they've had all year.”
2Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 10“I don't think it's quite that bad, but I went 31 to 10. I think it's going to be they're up 20 plus in the third, fourth quarter”
3Aaron Rodgers to move to Arizona Cardinals“Well, now they're obviously gonna sign Aaron Rodgers. That that's why you get Nathaniel Hackett.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl¹	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	100	0	+100
Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 10²	Score Predictions	—	88.1	16.73	+71.36
Aaron Rodgers to move to Arizona Cardinals³	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting			94.1	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 score prediction, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 94.1 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Super Bowl Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 10
VerdictHit
88.1Hit · naive 16.73
88.1this call16.73a naive guess71.37better than naive1difficulty+71.36skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 31–10 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 21) and fewer points (41).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
71.36
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
21
Think this is wrong?
3Trade and Signing Calls Aaron Rodgers Arizona Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers to move to Arizona Cardinals
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
94.1naive 8.4