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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 19, 2025

Eisen delivered their week 12 power rankings, with the Rams first and the Lions tenth, dropping the Chiefs and Chargers off the list. They also predicted the Ravens would win their next several games (an eight-game win streak before facing the Patriots), and picked winners in several hypothetical matchups plus the Bills-Texans game.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
44.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
39.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I still think the Rams are the best team in football.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
Hour 2: New NFL Power Rankings, Dodgers C Will Smith, and Robert De Niro Keeps His Word
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidNov 19, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Detroit Lions to beat San Francisco forty niners“Lions versus the San Francisco forty niners. What happens? I think the Lions win.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to beat Texans“They're at the Texans. This is a winnable game short week on the road. Get it. ... What happens Bills versus Ravens second time around? Bills.”
  3. 3Power Rankings“Colts, six. Bills, seven. Ravens, eight. Bears, nine. Lions, 10. ... I'm putting the eagles at two ... And then I'm keeping the rams at one.”
  4. 4Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings“I bet you that's an eight game win streak before they face the patriots, Chris. That's the way I'm feeling it.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Detroit Lions to beat San Francisco forty niners1Game Outcome Picks—022.92−31.86
Buffalo Bills to beat Texans2Game Outcome Picks—0100−139
“Colts, six. Bills, seven. Ravens, eight. Bears, nine. Lions,…”3Power Rankings—78.7935.76+59.81
Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings4Game Outcome Picks—1000+139
4 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled44.739.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 44.7 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat San Francisco forty niners

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 22.92
    0this call22.92a naive guess−22.92worse than naive1.39difficulty−31.86skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    −31.86
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.39
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    7
    picked won aplayoff game:
    no
    picked reached the playoffs:
    no
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Texans

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.39difficulty−139skill

    Closing line (Nov 20): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (69%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    19-23
    skill:
    −139
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Power Rankings

    “Colts, six. Bills, seven. Ravens, eight. Bears, nine. Lions, 10. ... I'm putting the eagles at two ... And then I'm keeping the rams at one.”

    VerdictClose
    78.79Close · naive 35.76
    78.79this call35.76a naive guess43.03better than naive1.39difficulty+59.81skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    59.81
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    78.79
    baseline:
    35.76
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.39difficulty+139skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    27-19
    skill:
    139
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    44.7naive 39.7

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