Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 28, 2025
Eisen said Russell Wilson should and would start for the Giants with Dart sitting, doubted Shedeur Sanders even makes the Browns roster, called three top-five teams making the playoffs an overreaction while naming Jacksonville as the one they'd pick, and predicted Joe Flacco holds a roster spot in Cleveland while Kirk Cousins only starts if Pittsburgh loses out on Rodgers. They also said Dallas whiffed by not taking Tyler Warren and floated Drew Allar as a possible No. 1 overall pick in next year's draft.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIf I had to peg one team from the top five to make it, it would be Jacksonville.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Draft Recap: Shedeur Will End Up Starting the Most Games at QB for the Browns
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 28, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart“Certainly, if I'm Daybell and Shane, I'm starting with Russ. I'm letting the kid marinate.”
- 2Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs“If I had to peg one team from the top five to make it, it would be Jacksonville.”
- 3Drew Allar to be picked at number 1“Drew Aller could be the first overall pick in next year's draft. He could.”
- 4Joe Flacco: a roster call with no direction stated“I think he's just gonna be like, you got the roster spot, pal.”
- 5Positional Finishes“I think he's gonna be tremendous.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 91.67 | 91.67 | 0 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs2 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Drew Allar to be picked at number 13 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 76 | 3.88 | 50 | — | |
| Joe Flacco: a roster call with no direction stated4 | Roster Spot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| “I think he's gonna be tremendous.”5 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting · 1 too vague to check | 65.2 | 47.2 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 mock draft pick, 1 playoff pick, 1 positional finish and 1 roster spot call — the 4 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of the 4 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 65.2 out of 100, against 47.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Depth Chart CallsRussell WilsonNew York Giants
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 91.6791.67this call−91.67a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Playoff PicksJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 76mocked at 13.88Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Drew Allar
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 3.88
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 76
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 3.88
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
4Roster Spot CallsJoe FlaccoCleveland Browns
Joe Flacco: a roster call with no direction stated
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Positional FinishesTravis HunterJacksonville Jaguars
“I think he's gonna be tremendous.”
VerdictToo vague to checkToo vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
65.2naive 47.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.Jordan Dajani · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Kendall · Miss 0
Dajani expects Cam Jurgens to move back to center as the Ravens' starter after the trade, and projects a rebuilt Eagles offensive line for Week 5 with Jordan Mailata, Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Tyler Steen and Markel Bell starting from left tackle to right tackle.