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JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 16, 2026

The co-host endorsed several of the mock's selections, most firmly that Cleveland takes tackle Monroe Freeling at No. 6, that Carnell Tate lands with the Saints, and that they too would pick Caleb Downs for the Bengals at No. 10.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · all settled
78.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It's gonna be tackle at six. It's gonna be Munro Freeling at six.
JP Acosta, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Pushing the Pile (podcast)
The episode
NEW 2026 NFL Mock Draft | Full 1st Round Following Free Agency 🏈
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidMar 16
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10“I would also go Caleb Downs here just because, like, obviously, like, he is, again, one of the best players in this draft class, and he fits what the Bengals want to do”
  2. 2Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8“I definitely agree with you with Tate to the Saints because, like you said, Tyler Shuck needs some explosive playmakers.”
  3. 3Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6“The way they attack free agency makes me think it's gonna be tackle at six. It's gonna be Munro Freeling at six.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 101Mock Draft PicksWent 1195.7650−25
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 82Mock Draft PicksWent 484.0950−25
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 63Mock Draft PicksWent 1956.9450−25
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · all settled78.950

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 78.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
10They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 11mocked at 10
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateNew Orleans Saints

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 4mocked at 8
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingCleveland Browns

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 19mocked at 6
    56.94Close · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    78.9naive 50

Who this take is about

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