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Chris Broussard#77 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 6, 2026

Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as their dark horse MVP.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 4calls landed1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
17.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
4.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#77Chris Broussard’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Broussard said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think Drake May is gonna have a great game. I think he's gonna throw for two touchdowns, Nick, and run for one and be Super Bowl MVP.
Chris Broussard, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Super Bowl LX preview, Matthew Stafford wins MVP, 2026 HOF Class, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 6
  2. GradedAug 14–Oct 9
  1. 1Drake Maye to win Super Bowl MVP“I think he's gonna throw for two touchdowns, Nick, and run for one and be Super Bowl MVP.”
  2. 2Cooper Kupp to win Super Bowl MVP“I'm a stick with the guy I said earlier, Cooper Kupp. If he can have a big game as a number two receiver because they're paying so much attention to JSN ... And, so he's my guy.”
  3. 3New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl“I am sorry to tell you that you are not the only one who believes ... New England, '24, Seattle, '21”
  4. 4New England Patriots 24 — Seattle 21“New England, '24, Seattle, '21 ... And I said 2421.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Drake Maye to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksKenneth Walker III won000
Cooper Kupp to win Super Bowl MVP2Award PicksKenneth Walker III won000
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl PicksSEA won it500+50
New England Patriots 24 — Seattle 214Score Predictions—19.0516.73+2.31
4 calls · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled17.34.2

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 17.3 out of 100, against 4.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksDrake MayeNew England Patriots

    Drake Maye to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Drake Maye
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Kenneth Walker III
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksCooper KuppSeattle Seahawks

    Cooper Kupp to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Cooper Kupp
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Cooper Kupp
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Kenneth Walker III
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Super Bowl PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Score PredictionsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots 24 — Seattle 21

    VerdictMiss
    19.05Miss · naive 16.73
    19.05this call16.73a naive guess2.32better than naive1difficulty+2.31skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 24–21 calls a Patriots win (by 3; the line gave the Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%)) and fewer points (45).

    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    2.31
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    17.3naive 4.2

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