Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 5, 2025
Rosenthal's weekly picks: they take the Texans to beat the Chiefs outright, the Chargers to beat the Eagles at home, the Broncos to blow out the Raiders by around 20, and they join Freeland on Washington winning at Minnesota.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI like the Texans to win this game and at the very least cover that spread.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 14 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidDec 5, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
- 1Denver Broncos to beat Raiders“I love Denver winning this game by about twenty points... I think they're gonna win, and they're gonna win big.”
- 2Houston Texans to beat Chiefs“I like the Texans to win this game and at the very least cover that spread.”
- 3Los Angeles Chargers to beat Eagles“I'm going Chargers to cover three points against the Eagles... I like the Chargers to win.”
- 4Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota“But Marcus Mariota has been playing great football. Yes, anyways, so I think he's gonna win that game too. I'm with you on this one.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos to beat Raiders1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +128 | |
| Houston Texans to beat Chiefs2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +128 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat Eagles3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −128 | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 75 | 50 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.28difficulty=+128skillClosing line (Dec 7): Broncos by 8.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 4 in 5 (79%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 24-17
- skill:
- 128
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
2Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans
Houston Texans to beat Chiefs
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.28difficulty=+128skillClosing line (Dec 7): Chiefs by 4.5 · underdog pick, Texans about 1 in 3 (34%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-10
- skill:
- 128
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Eagles
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.28difficulty=0skillClosing line (Dec 8): Eagles by 1.5 · a toss-up, Eagles 52%, Chargers 48%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAC
- score:
- 19-22
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
4Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.28difficulty=−128skillClosing line (Dec 7): Commanders by 1.5 · a toss-up, Commanders 51%, Vikings 49%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 0-31
- skill:
- −128
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
75naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.John Pluym · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.