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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 6, 2026

Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as their dark horse Super Bowl MVP.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
61.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
5.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Seattle '27, New England 17 ... Is my official prediction.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
First Things First (podcast)
The episode
Super Bowl LX preview, Matthew Stafford wins MVP, 2026 HOF Class, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidFeb 6
  2. GradedAug 14–Oct 9
  1. 1Rashid Shaheed to win Super Bowl MVP“So I'm going with a guy who I think can score points without anyone else getting the stats for it, and that's Rasheed Shaheed.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“Seattle's defense is better than New England. Seattle's coach annihilates young quarterbacks. ... Is my official prediction.”
  3. 3Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 17“Seattle '27, New England 17 That one hurts. Is my official prediction.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Rashid Shaheed to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksKenneth Walker III won000
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl PicksSEA won it1000+100
Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 173Score Predictions—85.7116.73+68.98
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled61.95.6

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 61.9 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksRashid ShaheedSeattle Seahawks

    Rashid Shaheed to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Rashid Shaheed
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Rashid Shaheed
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Kenneth Walker III
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 17

    VerdictHit
    85.71Hit · naive 16.73
    85.71this call16.73a naive guess68.98better than naive1difficulty+68.98skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    68.98
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    61.9naive 5.6

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