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Jeff "Coach Jags" Jagodzinski· Feb 6, 2026

Coach Jags takes Seattle to win Super Bowl 60 by a wider margin than the spread, 28-10, citing Seattle's dominant defense.

“I think it it'll be I think 28 to 10. I'll I'll go ahead and take Seattle”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 97.6 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    “but, I think Seattle's so dominant on defense... I'll go ahead and take Seattle”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 28 — New England Patriots 10

    “I think it it'll be I think 28 to 10. I'll I'll go ahead and take Seattle”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 16.73+78.5 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    78.5
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

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