Jeff "Coach Jags" JagodzinskiFeb 6, 2026

Coach Jags takes Seattle to win Super Bowl 60 by a wider margin than the spread, 28-10, citing Seattle's dominant defense.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled

97.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Jeff "Coach Jags" Jagodzinski said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think it it'll be I think 28 to 10. I'll I'll go ahead and take Seattle

Jeff "Coach Jags" Jagodzinski, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Locked On Packers (podcast)
The episode: PACKERS SQUAD SHOW: Packers Offseason Begins | Brian Gutekunst Speaks + Super Bowl LX Picks
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidFeb 5
GradedAug 14

1Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“but, I think Seattle's so dominant on defense... I'll go ahead and take Seattle”
2Seattle Seahawks 28 — New England Patriots 10“I think it it'll be I think 28 to 10. I'll I'll go ahead and take Seattle”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl¹	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	100	0	+100
Seattle Seahawks 28 — New England Patriots 10²	Score Predictions	—	95.24	16.73	+78.5
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled			97.6	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 97.6 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Super Bowl Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 28 — New England Patriots 10
VerdictHit
95.24Hit · naive 16.73
95.24this call16.73a naive guess78.51better than naive1difficulty+78.5skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 28–10 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 18) and fewer points (38).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
78.5
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
97.6naive 8.4