Benjamin Solak#76 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 2, 2026
Solak predicts the 2022 draft will see more running backs than quarterbacks taken in the first round — possibly three backs to two passers — that Carson Strong will be drafted ahead of Malik Willis, that Kayvon Thibodeaux won't be the first defensive lineman off the board, that eight defensive players will be selected in the top 10, and that Spencer Rattler will end up as the clear top prospect in the class.
Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original
What Benjamin Solak said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think it's possible we see only two passers up against three backs come April.
- Where it was published
- The Draft Network
- The piece
- 5 Bold 2022 NFL Draft Predictions | The Draft Network
- The original
- The copy as archived Jul 29, 2021
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidAug 2
- GradedAug 5
- 1Carson Strong to be drafted ahead of Malik Willis“If they both came out right now, Strong should and would be the higher drafted player given his current profile as a passer; barring major strides from Willis in just one offseason, Strong will likely always have that advantage on him.”
- 2Spencer Rattler to be picked “clear top spot in the draft class overall; top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)“But when Rattler ascends to the clear top spot in this draft class overall—something I expect will happen”
- 3Kayvon Thibodeaux to be picked “not the first defensive lineman drafted”“Kayvon Thibodeaux Isn't First Defensive Lineman Drafted”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Strong to be drafted ahead of Malik Willis1 | Prospect vs Prospect Calls | — | 0 | 50 | −50 | |
| Spencer Rattler to be picked “clear top spot in the draft class overall; top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 150 | 0.23 | 50 | — | |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux to be picked “not the first defensive lineman drafted”3 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 0.1 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Prospect vs Prospect CallsCarson Strong
Carson Strong to be drafted ahead of Malik Willis
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 500this call−50a naive guess=−50worse than naive×1difficulty=−50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- claim:
- Carson Strong drafted ahead of Malik Willis
- draft:
- 2022
- skill:
- −50
- what happened:
- Carson Strong went undrafted, Malik Willis went 86
- player:
- Carson Strong
- season:
- 2026
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Malik Willis
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Mock Draft PicksSpencer Rattler
Spencer Rattler to be picked “clear top spot in the draft class overall; top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
What happenedWent 1500.23Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Spencer Rattler
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.23
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 150
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.23
- predicted pick:
- clear top spot in the draft class overall; top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Mock Draft PicksKayvon Thibodeaux
Kayvon Thibodeaux to be picked “not the first defensive lineman drafted”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
0.1naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Patricia Traina · Roster Spot Calls · Kayvon Thibodeaux · Hit 100
Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker.Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Spencer Rattler · Hit 100
Ross Jackson gives their final preseason 53-man roster projection for the New Orleans Saints, naming who makes the initial roster at every position group, who starts on injured reserve or the practice squad, and who the five starting offensive linemen and kicker will be.Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Spencer Rattler · Hit 100
Ross Jackson projects the New Orleans Saints' offensive 53-man roster: three quarterbacks with Tyler Shough starting and Spencer Rattler as the backup, four running backs including Alvin Kamara, six wide receivers with Jalen Polk making it, three tight ends, ten offensive linemen with a set starting five, and Charlie Smith at kicker.Jack McKessy · Award Picks · Kayvon Thibodeaux · Miss 0
McKessy's way-too-early 2022 NFL awards predictions: Mahomes for MVP, Jonathan Taylor for OPOY, Aaron Donald (or Micah Parsons if Donald retires) for DPOY, Kenny Pickett for OROY, Kayvon Thibodeaux for DROY, Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Mike Tomlin for Coach of the Year.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · Kayvon Thibodeaux · Waiting
Traina expects the Giants not to re-sign Kayvon Thibodeaux, predicting Thibodeaux leaves in free agency and lands a top-dollar deal elsewhere.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.