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Ethan Hurwitz· Oct 25, 2026

Hurwitz frames the Patriots' upcoming divisional road game against the winless Dolphins as one New England should win comfortably as it bounces back from the Thursday night loss.

“the Patriots can't afford to look past a team that should beat without any issues”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins

    “it's about bouncing back to play a winnable game against the Miami Dolphins ... the Patriots can't afford to look past a team that should beat without any issues”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

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