Josh Holmes· Oct 26, 2024
Reviewing battleground polling, he said he was very confident about North Carolina, arguing the state breaks late and decisively Republican and that no one there would have reason to vote for Kamala Harris.
“I'm very confident in North Carolina in large part because when it breaks, it breaks late and it breaks over the last ten years decisively Republican.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Ruthless Podcast · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
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- Race WinnersOct 26, 2024
“Graphic six, you take a look at North Carolina. Your home state smug, it's got on. It's got a lead. I'm very confident in North Carolina in large part because when it breaks, it breaks late and it breaks over the last ten years decisively Republican. There is no reason in this great state of North Carolina that anybody would be voting Kamala Harris... I feel good about that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2024-president-nc
- election year:
- 2024
- skill:
- 0
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Republican
- result from:
- fec-2024-president
- who won:
- Donald Trump
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Donald Trump
- days before the vote when called:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.01
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2024-11-05
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
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