2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won16 EV · 50.9% · 2,898,423
Kamala Harris (Democratic)47.6% · 2,715,375
Jill Stein (Green)0.4% · 24,762
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 22,125
Cornel West (Independent)0.2% · 12,099

Donald Trump by 3.2 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Donald Trump 16Kamala Harris 1· 17 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Donald Trump19 picks · won
Kamala Harris2 picks · lost

Every claim about this race (25)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 6, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Seth Keshel: Donald Trump: at least four points in NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 92
Steve Bannon: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
David Axelrod: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “more likely than not”
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Miss · 0
Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump: leaning to Trump by about one to two points in NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 88
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Clay Travis: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Josh Holmes: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Harrison Lavelle: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “Leans Republican”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
David Pakman: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “The most likely scenario right now”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Megyn Kelly: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “definitely leaning Trump”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump: about one to two points in NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 88
Buck Sexton: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Donald Trump: a margin of +1 points in NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Close · 78
Cenk Uygur: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Josh Holmes: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “a slight edge”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Josh Holmes: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Scott Rasmussen: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “he should feel pretty good about Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina”
Race Winners · Oct 24, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100
Brent Buchanan: Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take
Hit · 100