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Travis RodgersOct 23, 2026

Rogers predicted the Rams would beat the Raiders in Las Vegas by a 13-10 score, while admitting they felt sick about the pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Rams (podcast)Hear the original

74Close · out of 100
Rams 35–21What happenedcalled Rams by 3 · won by 14
15.84A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
73.81This callout of 100
+96.82Skillafter difficulty

What Travis Rodgers said

I I I will give you a 13 to 10 prediction with the Rams.
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams 13 — Raiders 10
Where it was said
Locked On Rams (podcast)
The episode
PREVIEW: Rams Face WR DISASTER If Puka Nacua Can't Go, McDuffie & Landman DOUBT | Raiders PREDICTIONS
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 23
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 26

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 15.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 13 — Raiders 10

    What happenedRams 35–21called Rams by 3 · won by 14
    73.81Close · naive 15.84
    73.81this call15.84a naive guess57.97better than naive1.67difficulty+96.82skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5, total 49.5 · this 13–10 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and fewer points (23).

    How this was scored
    score:
    35-21
    skill:
    96.82
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    15.84
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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