Skip to main content

Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026

Bahns argues the 5-0 49ers are the NFL's new Super Bowl favorite, with the inside track to the NFC West title, a postseason berth and the franchise's first championship in 32 years. They also expect Caleb Williams and Michael Penix Jr. to be available for Week 6.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting5 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 5Settled5 still waiting
#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Frankly, they might just win the Super Bowl regardless of who is available.
Carter Bahns, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Super Bowl stock report for NFL Week 6: 49ers emerge as new favorites, Bears await Caleb Williams' return
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Availability Calls“Williams is on track to play in Week 6 against the Atlanta Falcons.”
  2. 2San Francisco 49ers to win the division“they have the inside track to a division title... making them the clear-cut top dogs in a division that was expected to be a season-long brawl”
  3. 3San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl“they are off to a 5-0 start and have the inside track to a division title and the Vince Lombardi Trophy... Frankly, they might just win the Super Bowl regardless of who is available.”
  4. 4Availability Calls“There was a chance this would be a clash between backup quarterbacks given Williams' hamstring issue and the rib injury Michael Penix Jr. sustained on "Sunday Night Football," but both are on track to play. (Week 6, Bears at Falcons)”
  5. 5San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs“These 49ers appear better suited than previous iterations to not only reach the postseason but finally break through for the franchise's first Super Bowl victory in 32 years.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“Williams is on track to play in Week 6 against the Atlanta…”1Availability Calls————
San Francisco 49ers to win the division2Division Winners————
San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl Picks————
“There was a chance this would be a clash between backup…”4Availability Calls————
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs5Playoff Picks————
5 calls · 5 waiting——

How each call scored

5 checkable claims — 2 availability calls, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    “Williams is on track to play in Week 6 against the Atlanta Falcons.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Division WinnersSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Super Bowl PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Availability CallsMichael Penix Jr.Atlanta Falcons

    “There was a chance this would be a clash between backup quarterbacks given Williams' hamstring issue and the rib injury Michael Penix Jr. sustained on "Sunday Night Football," but both are on track to play. (Week 6, Bears at Falcons)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.