Simon HunterJul 18, 2025
Simon ranked twelve quarterbacks based on past performance — Mahomes first, Jalen Hurts second, Josh Allen third, with Dak Prescott seventh and Herbert outside the top 10 at 12 and Purdy at 14. They also called the Cowboys an undervalued, slept-on team and said they'd bet the Chiefs to win the AFC West over the hyped Chargers.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Simon Hunter said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI had Baker at ten... CJ at number eight... number seven, the man that's left for dead... Dak.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- The Favorites - Top 10 NFL Quarterbacks
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJul 17, 2025
- GradedAug 7–17, 2026
- 1Kansas City Chiefs to win the division“You're getting minus one ten of the chiefs in that division running to the window to bet that one.”
- 2Top Player Lists“my number twelve was Herbert... Golf [eleven]... I had Baker at ten... So I have him in nine [Daniels]. CJ at number eight. number seven... Dak... Number six I got Joe Burrow... I have Stafford number five... number four went with Lamar... I put Josh on number three... [Hurts] number two... obviously number one Chad, no doubt about it. Mahomes... I do have pretty at fourteen”
- 3Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations“So their team that Chad knows I've been talking about for about four months now, is just an undervalued team that's gonna be slept on... they should have a really good offense and a good defense.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| “my number twelve was Herbert... Golf [eleven]... I had Baker at…”2 | Top Player Lists | — | 54.95 | 50 | +9.89 | |
| Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations3 | Surprise Team Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 27.5 | 25 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 surprise team call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 27.5 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
“my number twelve was Herbert... Golf [eleven]... I had Baker at ten... So I have him in nine [Daniels]. CJ at number eight. number seven... Dak... Number six I got Joe Burrow... I have Stafford number five... number four went with Lamar... I put Josh on number three... [Hurts] number two... obviously number one Chad, no doubt about it. Mahomes... I do have pretty at fourteen”
VerdictClose54.95Close · naive 5054.95this call−50a naive guess=4.95better than naive×2difficulty=+9.89skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 9.89
- placed:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 13
- accuracy:
- 54.95
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 13: 54.95
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Surprise Team CallsDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
27.5naive 25
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.