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Chad MillmanJul 16, 2025

Millman named their 14 playoff teams for 2025: Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Texans, Chargers, Bengals and Patriots in the AFC; Eagles, Packers, 49ers, Lions, Bears, Cowboys and Falcons in the NFC. They also have Cincinnati winning the AFC North, Atlanta winning the NFC South, and San Francisco as one of their two Super Bowl tickets.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 17calls landed8 hits · 9 misses · all settled
47.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 17 calls
47.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
17 of 17Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Chad Millman said

I do think it's going to be the Bengals and the Ravens.
Chad Millman, the lead quote
The episode
The Favorites - NFL Playoff Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 15, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Division Winners0020
Playoff Picks8060
Super Bowl Picks0010
All8090

How each call scored

17 checkable claims — 14 playoff picks, 2 division winners and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 17 have settled, averaging 47.1 out of 100, against 47.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners2 missesShow ▸
  1. Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    “I had Cincinnati winning the division. So when I went through this, I had the Ravens as the wildcard team from that division.”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Atlanta Falcons to win the division

    “We all have very different choices for winners of the NFC South. I like Atlanta”

    Atlanta Falcons

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks8 hits · 6 missesShow ▸
  1. Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    “All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.”

    Buffalo Bills

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs

    “Brandon, you and I both have Cincinnati getting to the playoffs.”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    CIN
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Houston Texans to make the playoffs

    “Simon, you and I both have the Texans back in the playoffs.”

    Houston Texans

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs

    “Brandon and I have the Chargers back in Denver and Pittsburgh out.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    “Brandon and Chad agree. Mike Rabel New England Patriots”

    New England Patriots

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs

    “I am on Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Francisco, Detroit, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta.”

    Atlanta Falcons

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    ATL
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs

    “We both have, Simon, You and I both have Dallas In.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    “I like what they did offensively enough for them to make the playoffs.”

    Chicago Bears

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    “Simon and I agree that Detroit is in I will say they were one of my last teams in”

    Detroit Lions

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “I am on Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Francisco, Detroit, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta.”

    Green Bay Packers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    “I am on Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Francisco, Detroit, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  14. San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs

    “I am on Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Francisco, Detroit, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl

    “Yes, they are one of my two super Bowl tickets right now.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    SEA won itpicked SF
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.