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Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 29, 2026

Bahns leans toward Buffalo in its Week 8 home game against Baltimore, arguing the rested Bills are set up to outduel the Ravens whether Lamar Jackson returns or Tyler Huntley starts, with the Ravens in danger of a third straight loss.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Bills 36–10What happenedRavens at Bills
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

The Bills enter the showdown off a bye and will be positioned well to outduel the Ravens in a shootout
Our reading: Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Super Bowl stock report for Week 8: Joe Burrow's excellence ignites Bengals, Texans reach screeching halt
The original
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  1. SaidOct 29
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 1

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens

    What happenedBills 36–10Ravens at Bills
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 59%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

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