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Pardon My Take· Oct 16, 2026

The show's hosts went through Week 6 games; speakers were not reliably identifiable by name for most picks, so only claims tied to named speakers were extracted elsewhere. Unnamed-speaker claims include liking the Texans over the Jaguars and the Colts over the Titans.

“I like the Texans in this game.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pardon My Take (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals

    “Let's just quickly go through Rams Cardinals. I think the Rams are gonna kill them.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    18-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans

    “I think the titans are a bad team, so I'm gonna take the Colts.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TEN
    score:
    26-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans to beat Jaguars

    “I like the Texans in this game. I think they're they're the desperate team.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5 · underdog pick, Texans 44%.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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