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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 15, 2025

Brockman argued the Colts are a playoff team and Jonathan Taylor is the NFL's best running back, said Russell Wilson would hold the Giants' starting job all season, that Mac Jones will be a starting quarterback somewhere in 2026, and that Jordan Love will finish no lower than second in MVP voting.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
95.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 5Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL. Colts are a playoff team.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Week 2: Burrow to Miss Months, Bears' Caleb Concerns, Cowboys Survive & More
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 15, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL. Colts are a playoff team.”
  2. 2Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart“Russell Wilson. He's gonna be the giant starting quarterback the entire season.”
  3. 3Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL.”
  4. 4Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“Mac Jones is an ex Sam Darnold. He's gonna be a starting quarterback in 2026.”
  5. 5Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting“I wanna talk about their quarterback, Jordan Love. He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs1Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs0100−194
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6791.670
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards3Positional FinishesFinished #383.3391.67−16.17
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.67100−16.17
Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting5Award Picks————
5 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting66.795.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 award pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 95.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Playoff PicksIndianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    IND
    skill:
    −194
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsRussell WilsonNew York Giants

    Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Russell Wilson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1.94
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Positional FinishesJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards

    What happenedFinished #3called #1 · by rushing yards
    83.33Hit · naive 91.67
    83.33this call91.67a naive guess−8.34worse than naive1.94difficulty−16.17skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −16.17
    player:
    Jonathan Taylor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    rushing yards
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    4
    actual finish:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Depth Chart CallsMac Jones

    Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 100
    91.67this call100a naive guess−8.33worse than naive1.94difficulty−16.17skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    −16.17
    player:
    Mac Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1.94
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay Packers

    Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 95.8

Others on the same people

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